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Prediction markets for The Economist
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
27.86%chance
653719860
OptionVotes
5791
4783
How will Venezuela be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?
Jan 3, 12:27 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM
8010795
OptionProbability
60
30
8
2
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
Jun 20, 10:38 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
44.34%chance
344924
OptionVotes
1120
892
Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?
Mar 28, 8:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.74%chance
214767
OptionVotes
2882
347
Which Party will the Economist endorse in the next UK General Election?
Apr 1, 11:44 AMJul 30, 10:59 PM
193986
OptionProbability
32
28
21
5
5
5
2
1
Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?
Apr 15, 5:50 PMOct 21, 10:59 PM
24.33%chance
212416
OptionVotes
1009
922
Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?
Oct 29, 5:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.62%chance
292141
OptionVotes
1762
673
If this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?
Apr 30, 10:32 PMMay 1, 11:59 PM
7200
OptionProbability
35
31
31
30
29
28
Which countries will the Economist make endorsements in elections for in Oct 2025 - Dec 2029?
Oct 23, 2:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2114
OptionProbability
95
83
50
50
50
50
Will the Economist Democracy Index of India in 2027 be above 7?
Jul 25, 3:13 PMJun 1, 10:59 PM
42.91%chance
7105
OptionVotes
115
87
If this person is leader of the Lib Dems going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Lib Dems?
May 1, 6:29 PMJun 15, 6:28 PM
167
OptionProbability
30
30
30
26
How will Poland be classified in The Economist's 2027 Democracy Index?
Oct 31, 12:34 PMNov 30, 10:59 PM
251
OptionProbability
78
16
5
2
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