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Top stories

Google Adds One-Click Vids Editing for Videos Stored in Drive

Authors

5

1 day ago

Prediction markets for Vids

Was synthetic video data generated and used in training Sora?

Feb 16, 11:40 AMDec 15, 9:59 PM

36.12%chance

15173304

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2118

667

Will AI porn videos be better than real porn by the end of 2026?

Mar 28, 7:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.68%chance

19755880

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1291

764

By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?

Sep 30, 7:42 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

45%chance

11847699

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1198

615

How many views will this video have after 30 days?

Aug 16, 7:00 AMSep 16, 6:59 AM

3130758

Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2025?

Dec 26, 4:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.1%chance

16927440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2861

428

When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?

Nov 20, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2612744

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

53

48

43

41

34

18

When will an AI be able to speedrun a popular video game faster than the human WR?

May 27, 5:02 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

1011851

OptionProbability

2026

2030 or later

2027

2025

2028

2029

2024

20

20

17

15

13

13

1

How many YouTube views will the peak AXRP video get in 2025?

Sep 14, 9:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

510302

OptionProbability

1,000 - 3,161

< 1,000

> 10,000

3,162 - 10,000

33

25

25

17

If Rational Animations invites viewers to read LessWrong in a video, how many new users will join LessWrong as a result?

May 4, 10:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.98%chance

955648

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1951

1524

When will we get the first successful video game that uses vid gen instead of a traditional engine?

May 25, 6:17 PMMay 26, 6:16 PM

8821

Google Vids discontinued before July 1, 2027?

Jun 30, 8:15 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

58.52%chance

6221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

842

Convincing deep fake of Jose Luis ricon playing main role in boulevard of broken dreams YT vid by 2030

Apr 1, 9:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.67%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

123

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Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Software
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Tech
Google Adds One-Click Vids Editing for Videos Stored in Drive
Authors
5
1 day ago

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