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Top stories

Google Adds One-Click Vids Editing for Videos Stored in Drive

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Vids

By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?

Sep 30, 7:42 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

43.83%chance

15588390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1182

636

Will I deem Donut Lab's solid state battery claims in their video to have been false one year from now?

Jan 6, 7:00 AMJan 6, 9:59 PM

92.96%chance

8722115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9037

4653

When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?

Nov 20, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3818873

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

54

52

44

35

18

0

When will an AI be able to speedrun a popular video game faster than the human WR?

May 27, 5:02 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

1518776

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2027

2026

2028

2029

2025

2024

25

20

19

16

16

4

1

How many videos will Species | Documenting AGI publish in 2026?

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77577

OptionProbability

10 - 19

20 - 29

30 - 39

40 - 49

50 - 60

Above 60

69

11

5

5

5

5

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Jan 5, 12:58 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

50%chance

416362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

932

SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.81%chance

335935

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4447

225

If Rational Animations invites viewers to read LessWrong in a video, how many new users will join LessWrong as a result?

May 4, 10:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.18%chance

955673

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1920

1549

Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?

Dec 26, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36%chance

555176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1517

383

When will we get the first successful video game that uses vid gen instead of a traditional engine?

May 25, 6:17 PMMay 26, 6:16 PM

111499

OptionProbability

2028

2029

2027

2026

2030

2025

33

28

21

11

6

1

Google Vids discontinued before July 1, 2027?

Jun 30, 8:15 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

28.41%chance

10973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1587

630

Convincing video of Jose Luis ricon playing main role in boulevard of broken dreams YT vid by 2030

Apr 1, 9:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.67%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

123

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Aug 22, 2025
Software
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Tech
Google Adds One-Click Vids Editing for Videos Stored in Drive
Authors
5
10 months ago

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