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Top stories

Google Adds One-Click Vids Editing for Videos Stored in Drive

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Vids

Will AI porn videos be better than real porn by the end of 2026?

Mar 28, 7:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.21%chance

20659741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

1027

When will an AI be able to speedrun a popular video game faster than the human WR?

May 27, 5:02 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

1418767

OptionProbability

2030 or later

2027

2026

2028

2029

2025

2024

25

20

19

16

16

4

1

Will Jimmy Kimmel Live post a video by March 31st with ‘Trump’ in the title and it gets more than 5M views after 7 days?

Jan 27, 8:00 AMApr 7, 11:59 PM

99%chance

614929

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15977

100

When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?

Nov 20, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2714038

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

51

48

43

41

34

10

SOAI#5: A real-time generative video game becomes the year’s most-watched title on Twitch.

Oct 9, 11:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.81%chance

335935

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4447

225

If Rational Animations invites viewers to read LessWrong in a video, how many new users will join LessWrong as a result?

May 4, 10:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.18%chance

955673

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1920

1549

Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026?

Dec 26, 6:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40%chance

535035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1439

430

How many videos will Species | Documenting AGI publish in 2026?

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52938

OptionProbability

10 - 19

20 - 29

30 - 39

40 - 49

50 - 60

Above 60

23

23

20

13

10

10

Will Jimmy Kimmel Live post a video by March 31st with ‘Trump’ in the title and it gets less than 1M views after 7 days?

Jan 27, 7:52 AMApr 7, 11:59 PM

5.95%chance

12000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3250

1010

When will we get the first successful video game that uses vid gen instead of a traditional engine?

May 25, 6:17 PMMay 26, 6:16 PM

111499

OptionProbability

2028

2029

2027

2026

2030

2025

33

28

21

11

6

1

Google Vids discontinued before July 1, 2027?

Jun 30, 8:15 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

35.71%chance

10723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1342

745

Convincing video of Jose Luis ricon playing main role in boulevard of broken dreams YT vid by 2030

Apr 1, 9:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.67%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

123

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Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Software
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Google Adds One-Click Vids Editing for Videos Stored in Drive
Authors
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6 months ago

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