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Top stories

EA Tweaks Battlefield 6 After Record-Setting Beta

EA Tweaks Battlefield 6 After Record-Setting Beta

Authors

6

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Weapon

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 5:28 AMDec 27, 9:59 PM

28.96%chance

9416397

OptionVotes

YES

NO

450

90

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

Jun 24, 9:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

509589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5692

176

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?

Jul 5, 12:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

33.68%chance

428190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

587

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

Oct 8, 9:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.05%chance

317032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2473

968

Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?

Feb 1, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

28.75%chance

337026

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1589

641

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before basic AGI?

Apr 5, 1:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.05%chance

636268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

565

International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?

Jul 7, 3:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.02%chance

275885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14144

7121

Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?

Aug 12, 10:19 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

5.77%chance

435651

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3443

143

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.35%chance

245432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3840

260

Will there be an attack on civilians in a NATO country committed primarily with a laser weapon with >19 casualties?

Oct 12, 3:57 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

25.72%chance

11253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

978

Will Iran develop a Nuclear Weapon before 2035?

Jul 20, 2:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.21%chance

8206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

988

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Apr 23, 5:53 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

27.32%chance

11176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

981

Latest stories

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Video Games
Culture
EA Tweaks Battlefield 6 After Record-Setting Beta
Authors
6
1 year ago

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