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Top stories

EA Tweaks Battlefield 6 After Record-Setting Beta

EA Tweaks Battlefield 6 After Record-Setting Beta

Authors

6

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Weapon

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 5:28 AMDec 27, 9:59 PM

27.99%chance

9116337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

457

87

Will the US run out of weapons in 2026?

Mar 27, 7:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

3311067

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?

Jul 5, 12:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

33.68%chance

428190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

587

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

Jun 24, 9:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.46%chance

447671

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4631

216

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

Oct 8, 9:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.28%chance

317004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2456

973

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before basic AGI?

Apr 5, 1:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

35.05%chance

636268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

565

International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?

Jul 7, 3:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.01%chance

255857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14146

7120

Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?

Aug 12, 10:19 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

13.75%chance

404548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2340

252

Will nuclear weapons be used on Earth before 2050?

Oct 2, 12:53 AMDec 2, 6:59 AM

38.6%chance

22772

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

905

Will there be an attack on civilians in a NATO country committed primarily with a laser weapon with >19 casualties?

Oct 12, 3:57 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

25.72%chance

11253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

978

Will Ukraine send any weapons to Taiwan by 2028?

Oct 6, 9:17 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.61%chance

10229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1077

956

Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040

Apr 23, 5:53 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

27.32%chance

11176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

981

Latest stories

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Video Games
Culture
EA Tweaks Battlefield 6 After Record-Setting Beta
Authors
6
10 months ago

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