Weapon News
Prediction markets for Weapon
OptionVotes
1901
1099
OptionVotes
578
54
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.
Oct 8, 9:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
25.65%chance
306759
OptionVotes
2431
982
OptionVotes
3946
254
OptionVotes
1069
671
OptionVotes
1470
565
International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?
Jul 7, 3:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
38.05%chance
234313
OptionVotes
12657
7939
Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?
Mar 20, 11:07 PMJan 1, 12:04 AM
26.9%chance
123047
OptionVotes
602
443
OptionVotes
1045
905
Will the IDF fight against Abu Shabab (a Palestinian militia they supplied with weapons) by the end of 2026?
Jun 5, 10:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
27.81%chance
7615
OptionVotes
1625
629
Will there be an attack on civilians in a NATO country committed primarily with a laser weapon with >19 casualties?
Oct 12, 3:57 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
25.72%chance
11253
OptionVotes
1030
978
Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040
Apr 23, 5:53 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
27.32%chance
11176
OptionVotes
1030
981
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