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Prediction markets for Weapon
OptionVotes
31042
9067
OptionVotes
419
99
OptionVotes
1613
561
OptionVotes
1069
671
OptionVotes
1470
565
Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?
Feb 1, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
32%chance
283824
OptionVotes
1458
686
OptionVotes
2737
365
Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.
Oct 8, 9:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
37%chance
193322
OptionVotes
1825
1254
International treaty limiting autonomous AI weapons before 2030?
Jul 7, 3:56 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
45.78%chance
182110
OptionVotes
10777
9293
OptionVotes
114
105
Will the IDF fight against Abu Shabab (a Palestinian militia they supplied with weapons) by the end of 2026?
Jun 5, 10:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.67%chance
6315
OptionVotes
1325
770
Elon Musk Work for the US Defense Industry to create weapons before 2040
Apr 23, 5:53 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
27.32%chance
11176
OptionVotes
1030
981
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