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Prediction markets for WhatsApp
Will ChatGPT or another AI tool be officially integrated into WhatsApp by May 2026?
Feb 15, 8:02 PMMay 31, 7:49 PM
40%chance
186425
OptionVotes
1456
324
OptionProbability
84
9
3
2
2
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?
Mar 10, 8:38 PMJun 1, 6:29 AM
21.75%chance
392832
OptionVotes
1909
392
Biggest AI romance app more users than biggest human romance app on July 1, 2028?
Jun 27, 9:02 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM
19.06%chance
162690
OptionVotes
2075
489
🌐 Which of the fifty most-visited websites today will still be in the top 50 in a decade? (2024-2034)
Mar 16, 12:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
342689
OptionProbability
94
88
86
85
78
73
73
71
69
67
63
62
62
60
55
54
54
50
48
48
48
46
44
44
43
41
41
39
38
37
36
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
29
29
27
27
27
27
15
9
OptionProbability
49
45
41
41
41
41
41
40
40
40
39
38
38
36
35
35
35
34
34
30
30
29
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
28
26
25
25
25
24
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
18
15
15
15
11
11
11
11
10
Which social network will surpass Facebook's monthly active users first?
Jul 28, 5:35 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
20737
OptionProbability
65
30
2
1
1
1
Will Meta provide the content of a WhatsApp message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?
Jan 8, 2:50 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
56.57%chance
4317
OptionVotes
1141
876
Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry
Jan 27, 10:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
11%chance
8250
OptionVotes
284
35
Will a new social media platform be the most popular worldwide by 2032?
Mar 9, 5:01 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
43.33%chance
15191
OptionVotes
1041
938
OptionVotes
229
44
OptionVotes
228
46




