Writing Help News

WhatsApp Adds AI ‘Writing Help’ Tool to Rephrase and Proof Messages

1 year ago

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

50.99%chance

22222043115

OptionVotes

YES

4430

4254

Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]

Aug 3, 4:44 PMDec 30, 4:14 PM

6563053

OptionProbability

Dummy answer required due to Manifold's multiple-choice market design, will resolve N/A

Pat Scott @Stralor

@retr0id

@vi

@Quroe

@Bandors

@zhengkyl

@Eternal

@Cy

@8my41

@astroblob

@AlirezaAfshan

@AtharvPatil

@Celene

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Mar 22, 5:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

66.88%chance

6313748

OptionVotes

YES

1293

793

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.43%chance

509368

OptionVotes

YES

13135

3475

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.13%chance

215978

OptionVotes

YES

10497

2690

Will Ilya Sutskever turn out to have been actively working in person and in contact w/OpenAI jan1-jan15 2024?

Jan 19, 5:56 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

19.93%chance

14535

OptionVotes

YES

1329

744

Will "Gemma Needs Help" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 10, 10:06 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.22%chance

1500

OptionVotes

YES

1500

936

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.91%chance

7487

OptionVotes

YES

1319

797

Am I Autistic?

Dec 13, 6:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

47.98%chance

22284

OptionVotes

YES

214

154

Will "Help me launch Obsolete: a book aimed at buil..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 10, 6:10 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.76%chance

6240

OptionVotes

YES

1188

972

The New York Times will have an article mentioning Herasight by the end of:

Aug 4, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6158

OptionProbability

September 2026

December 2026

March 2026

June 2026

December 2025

September 2025

Will "Help keep AI under human control: Palisade Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 20, 4:33 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

1000

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
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WhatsApp Adds AI ‘Writing Help’ Tool to Rephrase and Proof Messages
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1 year ago

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Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Will Ilya Sutskever turn out to have been actively working in person and in contact w/OpenAI jan1-jan15 2024?

Will "Gemma Needs Help" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?

Am I Autistic?

Will "Help me launch Obsolete: a book aimed at buil..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

The New York Times will have an article mentioning Herasight by the end of:

Will "Help keep AI under human control: Palisade Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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