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Top stories

WhatsApp Adds AI ‘Writing Help’ Tool to Rephrase and Proof Messages

WhatsApp Adds AI ‘Writing Help’ Tool to Rephrase and Proof Messages

Authors

13

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Writing Help

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

42.8%chance

21791948676

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5016

3757

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Mar 22, 5:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

53.53%chance

6012930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1019

948

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.51%chance

195543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10062

2804

Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?

May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.96%chance

474052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8923

4537

By when will Wikipedia remove Gaza from "list of genocides"?

Oct 18, 3:19 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

17730

OptionProbability

Before 2050

Before 2045

Before 2040

Before 2030

Before 2035

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

37

27

24

21

20

17

13

10

4

Will Ilya Sutskever turn out to have been actively working in person and in contact w/OpenAI jan1-jan15 2024?

Jan 19, 5:56 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

19.93%chance

14535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1329

744

Will "Gemma Needs Help" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 10, 10:06 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.22%chance

1500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1500

936

Would a randomized controlled trial show horoscopes to work better than horoscope skeptics?

Dec 9, 8:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27%chance

9442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

120

Will there be accurate, 'privacy violating' AI available for public use in the US by the end of 2030?

Sep 19, 1:39 AMDec 26, 4:59 AM

80.83%chance

15336

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1133

949

Will "Help me launch Obsolete: a book aimed at buil..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Apr 10, 6:10 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.76%chance

6240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

972

The New York Times will have an article mentioning Herasight by the end of:

Aug 4, 3:49 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6158

OptionProbability

September 2026

December 2026

March 2026

June 2026

December 2025

September 2025

82

74

66

66

24

15

Will "Help keep AI under human control: Palisade Re..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 20, 4:33 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Latest stories

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Software
AI Products
Tech
WhatsApp Adds AI ‘Writing Help’ Tool to Rephrase and Proof Messages
Authors
13
10 months ago

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