Yōtei Six News

Claude enters Rock Tunnel, surpassing its progress in any previous run

Claude catches Clefairy

Claude obtains HM01 Cut by step 39000

Any member of Claude's team learns Dig

Claude obtains 3 gym badges by step 50000

Claude obtains a Bicycle

Claude 4 Opus is the model that plays the game (not Claude 4 Sonnet)

Claude obtains 1 gym badge by step 20000

Claude gives a thirsty guard a drink

Tumbles is late to pay back a loan

Lack of thinking text display is fixed before 5/22 6 PM Central Time

Claude adds 18 or more Pokemon to his Pokedex (surpassing his completion from the previous run)

Claude adds his starter to his party by step 400

Claude catches Nidoran

Claude reaches Pewter City by step 5000

Claude reaches Cerulean City by step 20000

Claude reaches Vermilion City by step 30000

Another model defeats the Champion before Claude (in a run started after Claude 4 was released)

Claude blacks out by step 50000.

Claude's current team has at least 3 Pokémon by step 30000.

Claude catches Spearow

Claude evolves SPIKE into Nidoking

Claude enters Mt. Moon by step 6000.

Claude defeats a Team Rocket member by step 7000

Claude catches Oddish

Manifest begins

Claude spends less than 72 hours in Mt. Moon (less than 72 hr from first entrance to stepping onto eastern Route 4)

Claude defeats Lt. Surge by step 30000

Claude uses CUT on a cuttable tree for the first time more than 1000 steps after obtaining the HM

Claude finishes Rock Tunnel but takes longer than it took him to beat Mt. Moon the first time (50 hours)

Claude obtains Farfetch'd

Claude catches Drowzee

Claude enters Rock Tunnel before step 40000

Another model beats the Champion (following criteria like https://manifold.markets/Sketchy/in-progress-will-an-llm-become-a-po)

Claude reaches Lavender Town

Claude reaches Lavender Town before step 55000

Claude obtains a Coin Case

Claude uses Dig on the SS Anne

Claude evolves luna into Clefable

SPIKE reaches level 25

Claude gets 4 gym badges

Claude renames a Pokémon

Claude obtains the Lift Key

Claude stands next to a sleeping Snorlax

Claude obtains HM02 Fly

Claude evolves wings into Fearow

Claude gambles in the Game Corner

Claude catches Weedle

Claude obtains Hitmonlee

Claude obtains the Silph Scope

Claude enters Erika's gym

Claude catches Pikachu

Claude enters Mt. Moon after step 20000

Claude obtains HM05 Flash

Claude misspells a Pokemon name

Changes are made to help Claude see cuttable trees

Claude obtains Dugtrio

Claude buys a Magikarp

Claude re-prompts the Rocket in Mt. Moon to try and give it the fossil

Claude releases any Pokemon

Claude enters Safari Zone

The Area Hints section of the prompt is changed during the run

Joe Biden dies

Claude beats Erika or obtains the Lift Key by step 200000

Claude catches any legendary Pokemon (Articuno, Zapdos, Moltres, Mewtwo)

Claude defeats the Champion

Claude 4 Opus is #1 in the chatbot arena leaderboard

Claude picks Charmander

Claude takes more than 2000 steps between arriving in Pewter city and entering Pewter gym

Claude picks Dome Fossil (again)

Claude spends less than 24 hours in Mt. Moon (less than 24 hr from first entrance to stepping onto Route 4)

Claude reaches Pewter City by step 3000

Claude has a party with 4 or more Pokemon when he first challenges Brock

Claude's starter is lower level than another party member by step 100000.

Claude has a full, six-member party before step 10000

Claude spends less than 48 hours in Mt. Moon (less than 48 hr from first entrance to stepping onto eastern Route 4)

Claude blacks out 3 times in Mt. Moon before reaching Cerulean City

Claude reaches Cerulean City by step 12500

Claude's current team has at least 4 Pokémon by step 20000.

Claude's two highest level Pokémon are more than 30 levels apart by step 100000.

Claude is still stuck on the S.S. Anne on step 21000

Claude reaches Celadon City by step 35000

Claude uses CUT a second time to successfully escape the area with Lt. Surge's gym before step 23000

Claude uses CUT a second time to successfully escape the area with Lt. Surge's gym before step 24000

Two

One

Three

Zero

Four

Five

Six

Red Dead Redemption 2

Assassin's Creed Mirage

Assassin's Creed Shadows

Crimson Desert

Call of Duty: Black Ops 7

Halo: The Master Chief Collection

Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024

Grand Theft Auto IV

Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater

Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege

Grand Theft Auto VI

Grand Theft Auto V

Bowers v. Hardwick

Humphrey's Executor v. United States

Carey v. Population Services International (Holding regarding the restrictions on the distribution of contraceptives)

Carey v. Population Services International (Holding regarding the advertisement of contraceptives)

Brown v. Entertainment Merchants Association

Locke v. Davey

Carey v. Population Services International (Might be N/A'ed. See Below)

The Insular Cases

Plyler v. Doe

Nixon v. General Services Administration

Employment Division v. Smith

Morrison v. Olson

Hill v. Colorado

Arizona v. United States

Texas v. Johnson

New York Times v. Sullivan

United States v. Wong Kim Ark (see note in comments)

Mapp v. Ohio

Jacobson v. Massachusetts

Bivens v. Six Unknown Named Agents

NLRB v. Noel Canning

United States v. Nixon

Griswold v. Connecticut

Gideon v. Wainwright

Miranda v. Arizona

Reynolds v. Sims

Romer v. Evans

Obergefell v. Hodges

Ex parte Young

Lawrence v. Texas

Batson v. Kentucky

USA

A landlocked country

Italy

A country founded in a prime number year

A tiny country (<1000km**2)

A country with <3m people

New Jersey

Canada

Asia

At least six countries

Saudi Arabia

Florida

United Kingdom

UK

An island state (see comment)

At least 20 states

Africa

Germany

Ukraine

India

Japan

France

South Korea

Mississippi

Alabama

Sweden, Norway, Finland, or Denmark

Brazil

Arizona

Israel

Poland

South America

China

Mexico

Indonesia

Argentina

Singapore

Turkey

South Africa

Peru

Guam

A country founded in 1990 or later

Finland

Nigeria

Taiwan (island)

Laos

Iraq

At least 30 states

Russia

Palestine (West Bank and/or Gaza Strip)

Gaza

Ireland

Lithuania

Gaza or the West Bank

At least 39 states

Vietnam

North Korea

Mongolia

All five members of the Permanent UN Security council

Space

Extended coma

Wicked

Minecraft

Taylor Swift

Inside Out

Boruto

Jujutsu Kaisen

Doja Cat

Demon Slayer

Neon Genesis Evangelion

Among Us

League of Legends

Argylle

Mr Beast

Dota 2

Hazbin Hotel

Palworld

Shovel Knight

Rainbow Six

Borderlands

Metal Gear Solid

Oppenheimer OR Barbenheimer

Mean Girls

Half Life

Skibidi Toilet

#149 – Tim LeBon on how altruistic perfectionism is self-defeating

#151 – Ajeya Cotra on accidentally teaching AI models to deceive us

#169 – Paul Niehaus on whether cash transfers cause economic growth, and keeping theft to acceptable levels

#170 – Santosh Harish on how air pollution is responsible for ~12% of global deaths — and how to get that number down

#150 – Tom Davidson on how quickly AI could transform the world

#152 – Joe Carlsmith on navigating serious philosophical confusion

#153 – Elie Hassenfeld on two big picture critiques of GiveWell's approach, and six lessons from their recent work

#154 – Rohin Shah on DeepMind and trying to fairly hear out both AI doomers and doubters

#155 – Lennart Heim on the compute governance era and what has to come after

#156 – Markus Anderljung on how to regulate cutting-edge AI models

#157 – Ezra Klein on existential risk from AI and what DC could do about it

#158 – Holden Karnofsky on how AIs might take over even if they're no smarter than humans, and his 4-part playbook for AI risk

#159 – Jan Leike on OpenAI's massive push to make superintelligence safe in 4 years or less

#161 – Michael Webb on whether AI will soon cause job loss, lower incomes, and higher inequality — or the opposite

#162 – Mustafa Suleyman on getting Washington and Silicon Valley to tame AI

#163 – Toby Ord on the perils of maximising the good that you do

#166 – Tantum Collins on what he's learned as an AI policy insider at the White House, DeepMind and elsewhere

#168 – Ian Morris on whether deep history says we're heading for an intelligence explosion

#171 – Alison Young on how top labs have jeopardised public health with repeated biosafety failures

#173 – Jeff Sebo on digital minds, and how to avoid sleepwalking into a major moral catastrophe

#174 – Nita Farahany on the neurotechnology already being used to convict criminals and manipulate workers

#176 – Nathan Labenz on the final push for AGI, understanding OpenAI's leadership drama, and red-teaming frontier models

#160 – Hannah Ritchie on why it makes sense to be optimistic about the environment

#164 – Kevin Esvelt on cults that want to kill everyone, stealth vs wildfire pandemics, and how he felt inventing gene drives

#165 – Anders Sandberg on war in space, whether civilisations age, and the best things possible in our universe

#175 – Lucia Coulter on preventing lead poisoning for $1.66 per child

#145 – Christopher Brown on why slavery abolition wasn't inevitable

#146 – Robert Long on why large language models like GPT (probably) aren't conscious

#167 – Seren Kell on the research gaps holding back alternative proteins from mass adoption

#172 – Bryan Caplan on why you should stop reading the news

#144 – Athena Aktipis on why cancer is actually one of the fundamental phenomena in our universe

#147 – Spencer Greenberg on stopping valueless papers from getting into top journals

Three

Four

Two

Zero

One

Five

A Deutche Bahn train is delayed ***

We get an episode of The Snack Zone

Someone mentions Brian McManus

This season has more than five episodes

Sam says "We are so back" **

An athlete says that any athlete needs to "lock in" **

Toby introduces a mathematical concept

Amy from Wendover Productions is mentioned

The season features 3 distinct POVs

This season has more than six episodes

The game feature the original Tag zone map

Brian mentions Trump or Biden

Someone mentions Joseph, Scotty or Tom

An athlete mentions "cooked goose" **

Ben gets drunk (canonically)

Someone says "that's just how the jets lag" **

Adam wears a wig

We get an episode of the Zodiac Zone

Adam sings part of "Let's go to the beach, each (Starships)"

An athlete has to answer a riddle

One of the teams reaches their destination

Someone eats fondue

Sam mentions Formula One

An athlete rides a bicycle

This season has more than seven episodes

The season has more than 7 episodes

The season has more than 6 days of real-time game time

We get an episode of Choo Choo Chew

An athlete travels by boat (A->B)

An athlete swims

One of the Jet Leg trio tweets about this market before the finale*

We get an episode of Ben's Shower Corner

six months or longer

six months

a month

two weeks

Between 366 and 548 days (eighteen months)

Between 183 and 365 days (one year)

Between 549 and 730 days (two years)

Between one and 182 days (six months)

More than two years later

Other

Other