Yōtei Six News

Red Dead Redemption 2

Clair Obscur: Expedition 33

Halo: The Master Chief Collection

Call of Duty: Black Ops 7

Assassin's Creed Mirage

Assassin's Creed Shadows

Crimson Desert

Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024

Grand Theft Auto VI

Grand Theft Auto IV

Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater

Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege

Grand Theft Auto V

#144 – Athena Aktipis on why cancer is actually one of the fundamental phenomena in our universe

#145 – Christopher Brown on why slavery abolition wasn't inevitable

#146 – Robert Long on why large language models like GPT (probably) aren't conscious

#147 – Spencer Greenberg on stopping valueless papers from getting into top journals

#148 – Johannes Ackva on unfashionable climate interventions that work, and fashionable ones that don't

#151 – Ajeya Cotra on accidentally teaching AI models to deceive us

#149 – Tim LeBon on how altruistic perfectionism is self-defeating

#150 – Tom Davidson on how quickly AI could transform the world

#152 – Joe Carlsmith on navigating serious philosophical confusion

#153 – Elie Hassenfeld on two big picture critiques of GiveWell's approach, and six lessons from their recent work

#154 – Rohin Shah on DeepMind and trying to fairly hear out both AI doomers and doubters

#155 – Lennart Heim on the compute governance era and what has to come after

#156 – Markus Anderljung on how to regulate cutting-edge AI models

#157 – Ezra Klein on existential risk from AI and what DC could do about it

#158 – Holden Karnofsky on how AIs might take over even if they're no smarter than humans, and his 4-part playbook for AI risk

#159 – Jan Leike on OpenAI's massive push to make superintelligence safe in 4 years or less

#160 – Hannah Ritchie on why it makes sense to be optimistic about the environment

#161 – Michael Webb on whether AI will soon cause job loss, lower incomes, and higher inequality — or the opposite

#162 – Mustafa Suleyman on getting Washington and Silicon Valley to tame AI

#163 – Toby Ord on the perils of maximising the good that you do

#166 – Tantum Collins on what he's learned as an AI policy insider at the White House, DeepMind and elsewhere

#167 – Seren Kell on the research gaps holding back alternative proteins from mass adoption

#168 – Ian Morris on whether deep history says we're heading for an intelligence explosion

#164 – Kevin Esvelt on cults that want to kill everyone, stealth vs wildfire pandemics, and how he felt inventing gene drives

#165 – Anders Sandberg on war in space, whether civilisations age, and the best things possible in our universe

#169 – Paul Niehaus on whether cash transfers cause economic growth, and keeping theft to acceptable levels

#170 – Santosh Harish on how air pollution is responsible for ~12% of global deaths — and how to get that number down

#171 – Alison Young on how top labs have jeopardised public health with repeated biosafety failures

#172 – Bryan Caplan on why you should stop reading the news

#173 – Jeff Sebo on digital minds, and how to avoid sleepwalking into a major moral catastrophe

#174 – Nita Farahany on the neurotechnology already being used to convict criminals and manipulate workers

#175 – Lucia Coulter on preventing lead poisoning for $1.66 per child

Bowers v. Hardwick

Humphrey's Executor v. United States

Brown v. Entertainment Merchants Association

Locke v. Davey

Carey v. Population Services International (Might be N/A'ed. See Below)

Employment Division v. Smith

Morrison v. Olson

The Slaughter House Cases

The Insular Cases

Carey v. Population Services International (Holding regarding the restrictions on the distribution of contraceptives)

Hill v. Colorado

Kennedy v. Louisiana

Arizona v. United States

Nixon v. General Services Administration

Plyler v. Doe

Carey v. Population Services International (Holding regarding the advertisement of contraceptives)

New York Times v. Sullivan

United States v. Wong Kim Ark (see note in comments)

Mapp v. Ohio

Texas v. Johnson

Jacobson v. Massachusetts

Bivens v. Six Unknown Named Agents

NLRB v. Noel Canning

United States v. Nixon

Griswold v. Connecticut

Gideon v. Wainwright

Miranda v. Arizona

Reynolds v. Sims

Romer v. Evans

Ex parte Young

Lawrence v. Texas

Obergefell v. Hodges

Batson v. Kentucky

Wicked

Minecraft

Taylor Swift

Inside Out

Boruto

Jujutsu Kaisen

Doja Cat

Oppenheimer OR Barbenheimer

Demon Slayer

Neon Genesis Evangelion

Among Us

League of Legends

Argylle

Mr Beast

Hazbin Hotel

Palworld

Shovel Knight

Rainbow Six

Borderlands

Metal Gear Solid

Mean Girls

Dota 2

Half Life

Skibidi Toilet

Will SpaceX's Starship–SuperHeavy lift off from the launch pad two or more times between 1 January 2024 and 1 July 2024 inclusive?

Will Manifold users reach the $10,000 monthly charity donation cap in any of the first six months of 2024? (Excepting the excluded period at the start of January)?

Will Starship IFT-3 launch within a week of receiving the launch license from the FAA?

To whom does Manifold need to extend its userbase in order to be self-sustaining (link in comments)

[Don't bet on this yet, criteria TBA] How many Manifold users will have a net worth of 1 million mana or more on 1 July 2024? (Rules below)

Will the Tesla Cybertruck be available in Australia by 2034?

[At least ten answers will be added in 2024 that I don't initially N/A]

Abed will say "cool…cool cool cool"

Jeff will give an inspirational speech

🎵 Troy and Abed (something something) 🎵 (eg. in the morning)

Inspector Spacetime will be referenced

Starburns will feature

Professor Duncan will feature

Britta will be called "the worst"

Garrett will feature

"Britta" will be used as a verb

"Six seasons and a movie" will be mentioned

Magnitude will feature

(Fat) Neil will feature

Frankie will feature

Troy's AC/Plumbing story will be referenced

Hickey will feature

Someone will shoot a paintball gun

Elroy will feature

Abed will wear a cape

There will be a pillow/blanket fort

Annie's Boobs (the monkey) will feature

Dungeons and Dragons will be played

Pierce will feature

Three

Four

Two

Five

Zero

One

Will NEARLY be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will NAPOLEON SOLO be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will FURTHER ADO be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will LITMUS TEST be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will MR. A. P. be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will PALADIN be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will STRATEGIC RISK be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will SILENT TACTIC be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will BAYTOWN DREAMER be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will SLEEPINGONFREEDOM be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will RANCHO SANTA FE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will SCAR SHIP be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will OSCAR'S HOPE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will QUALITY MISCHIEF be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will CARSON STREET be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will MY WORLD be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will BUETANE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will CHIEF WALLABEE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will COMMANDMENT be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will CROSSINGTHECHANNEL be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will CROWN THE BUCKEYE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will EWING be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will LIBERTY NATIONAL be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will MESQUITE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will MOB be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will OTTINHO be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will SECURED FREEDOM be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will SO HAPPY be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will THUNDER BUCK be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will THUNDEROUSLY be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will WAYMARK be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will WHITE TIGER be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will JACKSON HOLE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will SIX SPEED be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will DEVON ISLAND be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will BROTHERLY LOVE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will RAMMAAS be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will DUKE OF IMMATIN be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will BRANT be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will SPICE RUNNER be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will INTREPIDO be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will INCREDIBOLT be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will UNIVERSE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will BLACKOUT TIME be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will SATONO VOYAGE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will CANNONEER be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will TALKIN be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will COMPORT be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will BOYD be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will BALBOA be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will COURTING be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will FINAL SCORE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will RENEGADE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will DESERT GATE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will BLACKSMITH be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will VERY CONNECTED be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will GOLDEN TEMPO be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will PYROMANCER be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will PLUTARCH be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will SOLDIER N DIPLOMAT be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will ARCTIC BEAST be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will TIME FOR MUSIC be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will ESSENTIAL TIME be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will ROYALAMERICAN be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will D'CODE be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will IRON HONOR be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will ENGLISHMAN be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will SOCKDOLAGER be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will CHIP HONCHO be a '26 KY Derby starter?

Will EXPRESS KID be a '26 KY Derby starter?

At least one of the six left Millennium problems is found with a counter-example

At least one of the six left Millennium problems is undecidable

A unified framework for gravitation and quantum theory is proposed that is not string theory

Neural Networks are explainable and can be trained without gradient descent with better performance.

No AI will be powerful enough to directly (as a necessary condition) lead to a significant discovery in math.

Shinichi Mochizuki is right or almost right about abc conjecture

We get an episode of The Snack Zone

Sam says "We are so back" **

Sam mentions Choo Choo Chew

Amy from Wendover Productions is mentioned

This season has more than five episodes

Someone says "that's just how the jets lag" **

An athlete drinks bubble tea

We see Taipei 101

An athlete rides a bicycle

Ben gets drunk (canonically)

An athlete travels by boat (A->B)

An athlete has to answer a riddle

An athlete swims

Adam sings part of "Let's go to the beach, each (Starships)"

This season has more than seven episodes

An athlete says that any athlete needs to "lock in" **

An athlete mentions Xi Jinping

An athlete rides one of Taiwan's branch lines ***

An athlete rides one of Taiwan's light rail lines ****

An athlete rides the Alishan Forest Railway

We see Sun Moon Lake

We see Taroko Gorge

We see a lighthouse

An athlete goes above 1000m in altitude

An athlete mentions Chiang Kai-shek

Someone mentions the Japanese colonial period

Someone mentions the sugar railways

At least one athlete fully circumnavigates the island

An athlete eats "Small sausage in big sausage"

Someone mentions Brian McManus

This season has more than six episodes

An athlete eats stinky tofu

An athlete mentions "cooked goose" **

Sam mentions Formula One

An athlete says Taiwan Number One

Someone mentions Taiwan's indigenous peoples

One of the Jet Leg trio tweets about this market before the finale*

An athlete wears a ghillie suit

Someone eats fondue

Adam wears a wig

Human spends six months on the Moon

Between 366 and 548 days (eighteen months)

Between 183 and 365 days (one year)

Between 549 and 730 days (two years)

Instantly

Between one and 182 days (six months)

More than two years later