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Prediction markets for ABC News
OptionVotes
3854
259
Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
Feb 7, 9:09 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
4.28%chance
6819633
OptionVotes
4730
211
How many entire government agencies will be eliminated by within one year of Trump taking office?
Nov 22, 5:52 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
5116939
OptionProbability
37
31
11
9
4
4
4
OptionVotes
2587
387
Will there be an attempted physical assault on anyone working for DOGE?
Feb 3, 5:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
22.9%chance
494089
OptionVotes
1835
545
JD Vance and Usha Vance announce separation or divorce before June 1st 2029
Feb 7, 5:57 PMJun 1, 11:00 PM
16.52%chance
213194
OptionVotes
2248
445
Will Laura Loomer have a baby or be pregnant by end of 2025?
Sep 16, 1:53 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
11.31%chance
172856
OptionVotes
2800
357
OptionProbability
63
60
45
40
40
37
34
34
34
31
28
27
22
20
20
20
10
8
3
At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026
Jan 21, 6:05 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM
54.98%chance
121952
OptionVotes
1105
905
Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?
Sep 7, 1:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
47.01%chance
261841
OptionVotes
1017
975
Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?
Jun 6, 10:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
26.23%chance
261269
OptionVotes
1408
785
OptionVotes
1061
942
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