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Prediction markets for Activision
Which gaming companies will layoff 20%+ of their workforce by end 2026?
Feb 28, 9:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
368081
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
81
75
72
72
63
61
55
53
50
50
50
49
46
41
36
32
31
28
25
25
25
22
22
22
21
21
19
15
14
13
8
7
6
5
Will Blizzard announce the release of a World of Warcraft 2 by 2026?
Feb 17, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.08%chance
217481
OptionVotes
6144
703
OptionProbability
100
100
87
70
59
51
50
46
45
45
41
41
41
38
37
35
34
34
34
30
28
27
27
26
25
24
24
24
23
22
22
21
20
19
12
11
10
10
10
9
5
1
1
Will William MacAskill (philosopher and activist) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Jan 9, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.91%chance
283014
OptionVotes
1830
912
Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?
Dec 9, 2:25 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
82247
OptionProbability
100
100
58
50
31
31
31
31
31
31
0
0
0
Will a coal mine be bought and closed by climate activists by 2033?
May 9, 7:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
59.05%chance
431533
OptionVotes
1289
724
Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
Nov 25, 9:13 AMSep 9, 9:59 PM
42.54%chance
21783
OptionVotes
1140
746
OptionProbability
18
17
17
17
17
8
7
AI safety activist causes AI catastrophe to slow development before 2040?
Nov 2, 2:03 PMJan 1, 2:01 PM
31.09%chance
4178
OptionVotes
149
67
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