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Prediction markets for Aerolíneas Argentinas
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
97
92
92
87
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82
75
69
65
63
63
62
59
52
51
48
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5
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4
3
3
3
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2
1
0
0
These countries do not allow visitors with a felony conviction. Which will Trump travel to during his current term?
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
99
99
97
59
21
11
9
9
9
9
8
8
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
97
70
48
39
10
7
7
6
5
4
4
2
Which country will the next Secretary General of the United Nations be from, following Antonio Guterres?
OptionProbability
46
37
7
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
99
82
81
79
76
72
59
51
50
16
13
13
11
If entire humanity were to trust a single nation for total control of all nukes, who would win such a global poll?
OptionProbability
16
12
11
11
11
10
7
5
5
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
31
26
16
11
9
5
3
OptionProbability
39
35
19
17
13
13
9
9
7
6
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
OptionProbability
31
29
7
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
If polio is reintroduced in the Americas until Aug 25th, 2029, through which country will it happen?
OptionProbability
38
29
26
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
41
23
9
9
9
8
OptionProbability
13
12
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9


