Agency News

Sharkey Threatens Environment Agency With Legal Action Over River Lea Abstraction

7 months ago

Imperial Household Agency Expands Instagram to Include Akishino, Hitachi, Mikasa, Takamatsu Families and Princess Aiko with Monthly Posts

7 months ago

Will a purely AI-based news agency exist by the year 2030?

Jan 4, 5:17 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

81.8%chance

5323348

OptionVotes

YES

986

955

Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?

Dec 17, 4:02 AMJul 5, 3:59 AM

5011102

OptionProbability

Department of Education

Federal Statistical Agencies

Transportation Security Administration (TSA)

National Weather Service

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)

Internal Revenue Service

Public Broadcasting Service (PBS)

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB)

National Institutes of Health

Consumer Financial Protection Bureau

Bureau of Alcohol, Firearms, and Tobacco

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA)

National Park Service (NPS)

Small Business Administration

Federal Bureau of Investigations

Freddie Mac

Ginnie Mae

Fannie Mae

The Supreme Court

United States Agency for International Development (USAID)

US Postal Service

Amtrak

100

Will DOGE/Trump manage to shutdown at least 100 Federal agencies by 2029?

Dec 9, 1:00 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

10.77%chance

282775

OptionVotes

YES

2882

348

Will a manned mission to Mars be officially announced by a government space agency by 2030?

Mar 24, 9:32 AMDec 31, 6:14 PM

41.27%chance

322166

OptionVotes

YES

1231

754

Space agency announces mission to divert asteroid 2024 YR4 before 22 Dec 2032

Jan 29, 3:06 AMDec 22, 12:00 AM

1%chance

171966

OptionVotes

YES

995

Will a major space agency announce the discovery of extraterrestrial life on Europa or Enceladus before 2035

Jul 28, 9:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.83%chance

241272

OptionVotes

YES

1080

965

[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?

Oct 16, 1:24 PMJan 2, 8:00 PM

66.16%chance

20810

OptionVotes

YES

1008

987

By 2030, will a major intelligence agency acknowledge using AI-based steganographic techniques for an operation?

May 20, 9:08 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

27.75%chance

10105

OptionVotes

YES

993

Major space agency funds research into Dyson Swarm technology by 2030?

Apr 8, 4:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.52%chance

560

OptionVotes

YES

144

Will "Impact, agency, and taste" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 19, 9:19 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.85%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

1051

737

Will "Towards a scale-free theory of intelligent agency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jan 17, 5:11 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.82%chance

113

OptionVotes

YES

1013

998

Will "What, if not agency?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 20, 2:15 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.9%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1007

999

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Will a purely AI-based news agency exist by the year 2030?

Which government agencies will DOGE announce it seeks to privatize or eliminate?

Will DOGE/Trump manage to shutdown at least 100 Federal agencies by 2029?

Will a manned mission to Mars be officially announced by a government space agency by 2030?

Space agency announces mission to divert asteroid 2024 YR4 before 22 Dec 2032

Will a major space agency announce the discovery of extraterrestrial life on Europa or Enceladus before 2035

[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?

By 2030, will a major intelligence agency acknowledge using AI-based steganographic techniques for an operation?

Major space agency funds research into Dyson Swarm technology by 2030?

Will "Impact, agency, and taste" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Towards a scale-free theory of intelligent agency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "What, if not agency?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

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