Agency News

Sharkey Threatens Environment Agency With Legal Action Over River Lea Abstraction

9 months ago

Imperial Household Agency Expands Instagram to Include Akishino, Hitachi, Mikasa, Takamatsu Families and Princess Aiko with Monthly Posts

9 months ago

Will a purely AI-based news agency exist by the year 2030?

Jan 4, 5:17 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

81.8%chance

5323348

OptionVotes

YES

986

955

Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀

Jan 7, 9:06 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

264291

OptionProbability

SpaceX

NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration)

CNSA (China National Space Administration)

ESA (European Space Agency)

Blue Origin

Boeing

Will DOGE/Trump manage to shutdown at least 100 Federal agencies by 2029?

Dec 9, 1:00 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

10.16%chance

283037

OptionVotes

YES

2978

337

Will a manned mission to Mars be officially announced by a government space agency by 2030?

Mar 24, 9:32 AMDec 31, 6:14 PM

41.27%chance

322166

OptionVotes

YES

1231

754

Will a major space agency announce the discovery of extraterrestrial life on Europa or Enceladus before 2035

Jul 28, 9:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.83%chance

241272

OptionVotes

YES

1080

965

Private space agency buys ISS before being decommissioned

Dec 30, 3:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.81%chance

11838

OptionVotes

YES

1103

387

[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?

Oct 16, 1:24 PMJan 2, 8:00 PM

66.16%chance

20810

OptionVotes

YES

1008

987

Which space agency or corporation will be the first to successfully land a spacecraft on one of Jupiter's moons?

Apr 2, 12:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

5310

OptionProbability

CNSA

SpaceX

NASA

ESA

Other

JAXA

Roscosmos

By 2030, will a major intelligence agency acknowledge using AI-based steganographic techniques for an operation?

May 20, 9:08 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

27.75%chance

10105

OptionVotes

YES

993

Will "Impact, agency, and taste" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 19, 9:19 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

18.85%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

1051

737

Will "Towards a scale-free theory of intelligent agency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jan 17, 5:11 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.82%chance

113

OptionVotes

YES

1013

998

Will "What, if not agency?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 20, 2:15 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.9%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1007

999

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Sharkey Threatens Environment Agency With Legal Action Over River Lea Abstraction
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9 months ago
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Will a purely AI-based news agency exist by the year 2030?

Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀

Will DOGE/Trump manage to shutdown at least 100 Federal agencies by 2029?

Will a manned mission to Mars be officially announced by a government space agency by 2030?

Will a major space agency announce the discovery of extraterrestrial life on Europa or Enceladus before 2035

Private space agency buys ISS before being decommissioned

[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?

Which space agency or corporation will be the first to successfully land a spacecraft on one of Jupiter's moons?

By 2030, will a major intelligence agency acknowledge using AI-based steganographic techniques for an operation?

Will "Impact, agency, and taste" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Towards a scale-free theory of intelligent agency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "What, if not agency?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

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