Agency for International Development News
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Prediction markets for Agency for International Development
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Apr 21, 8:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
52%chance
326121196
OptionVotes
1004
972
U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?
Jun 9, 2:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.16%chance
4344500
OptionVotes
128439
102675
🌖 What country will be the first to build a nuclear reactor on the Moon?
Aug 5, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:49 AM
173011
OptionProbability
61
12
12
5
5
4
2
Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
Dec 14, 5:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
152884
OptionProbability
100
100
100
82
79
76
68
68
66
66
66
58
57
56
56
51
49
48
47
46
41
41
41
41
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
37
37
36
35
35
34
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
31
27
27
24
0
Donald Trump utilisera-t-il la bombe nucléaire contre l' Iran pour gagner la guerre ?
Apr 1, 11:36 AMApr 1, 11:35 AM
3.66%chance
61198
OptionVotes
513
19
OptionVotes
214
47
Gaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?
Oct 21, 12:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62.78%chance
10579
OptionVotes
130
77
Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of an international project?
Feb 3, 10:59 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
14.28%chance
7145
OptionVotes
245
41
Will the World Bank lose it's AAA credit rating (2030)
Apr 4, 12:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.34%chance
565
OptionVotes
127
79
US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?
Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100


