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YZi Labs Backs USD AI Stablecoin in Push Into AI-Linked DeFi

5 months ago

Musk’s xAI Launches ‘Macrohard’ to Build AI-Run Rival to Microsoft

Software

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Tech

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5 months ago

Nvidia, Led by Jensen Huang and Wedbush’s Daniel Ives, Projected to Reach $5 Trillion Amid AI Revolution and Robust Earnings

Company Earnings

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Nvidia, Led by Jensen Huang and Wedbush’s Daniel Ives, Projected to Reach $5 Trillion Amid AI Revolution and Robust Earnings

5 months ago

Law

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Elon Musk’s xAI Sought Zuckerberg’s Support for $97.4 Billion OpenAI Bid; Legal Battle Over Documents Ensues

5 months ago

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Google Raises TeraWulf Stake to 14% on Lake Mariner Expansion

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6 months ago

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Galaxy Digital Secures $1.4 B to Expand Texas AI Data Center

6 months ago

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26%chance

419811291284

OptionVotes

YES

30182

16208

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.62%chance

8044170467

OptionVotes

YES

3562

1813

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

77.09%chance

25582230439

OptionVotes

YES

10519

2148

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.04%chance

967737048

OptionVotes

YES

10126

9776

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

9.97%chance

810504552

OptionVotes

YES

57764

10557

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50.87%chance

555495774

OptionVotes

YES

3519

1108

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.47%chance

493409147

OptionVotes

YES

2991

2170

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Mar 11, 6:21 AMMar 18, 6:59 AM

45%chance

231391548

OptionVotes

YES

6865

2234

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

11.18%chance

203282468

OptionVotes

YES

4438

1297

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Jan 28, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

63.37%chance

318218151

OptionVotes

YES

2061

1304

Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?

Jun 10, 7:37 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

61.39%chance

253131777

OptionVotes

YES

1262

794

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.4%chance

28490246

OptionVotes

YES

5301

4725

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In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

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