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YZi Labs Backs USD AI Stablecoin in Push Into AI-Linked DeFi

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Musk’s xAI Launches ‘Macrohard’ to Build AI-Run Rival to Microsoft

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In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.58%chance

448712289753

OptionVotes

YES

25594

18056

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

5%chance

11057283195

OptionVotes

YES

7014

2095

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.88%chance

8144171116

OptionVotes

YES

3503

1823

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

87.89%chance

26872439947

OptionVotes

YES

14383

1362

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.68%chance

985744202

OptionVotes

YES

10678

9273

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.2%chance

619656382

OptionVotes

YES

5632

4083

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Mar 11, 6:21 AMMar 18, 6:59 AM

88.48%chance

336644389

OptionVotes

YES

11092

3630

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

9.66%chance

834517250

OptionVotes

YES

59065

10415

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

42.67%chance

556467615

OptionVotes

YES

2818

2386

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

11.52%chance

209282721

OptionVotes

YES

4337

1310

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Jan 28, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.87%chance

354261898

OptionVotes

YES

2038

1317

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

Jul 19, 2:29 PMJul 31, 10:59 PM

82.65%chance

415213145

OptionVotes

YES

16507

7941

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In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Perfect score achieved by an AI model in the International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2026?

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