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YZi Labs Backs USD AI Stablecoin in Push Into AI-Linked DeFi

8 months ago

Musk’s xAI Launches ‘Macrohard’ to Build AI-Run Rival to Microsoft

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8 months ago

Nvidia, Led by Jensen Huang and Wedbush’s Daniel Ives, Projected to Reach $5 Trillion Amid AI Revolution and Robust Earnings

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8 months ago

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In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.14%chance

442912022119

OptionVotes

YES

29137

16588

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

May 5, 11:03 AMJan 2, 1:16 AM

5.74%chance

11037281432

OptionVotes

YES

6195

2142

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

Feb 4, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.9%chance

8144171111

OptionVotes

YES

3498

1824

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

89.35%chance

26712400780

OptionVotes

YES

15259

1250

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.86%chance

983744074

OptionVotes

YES

10719

9239

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.86%chance

615651684

OptionVotes

YES

5682

4007

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Mar 11, 6:21 AMMar 18, 6:59 AM

65.39%chance

297534365

OptionVotes

YES

5410

4066

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

9.86%chance

831515860

OptionVotes

YES

58238

10505

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.5%chance

553464228

OptionVotes

YES

2901

2279

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

Feb 26, 6:16 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

11.53%chance

209282716

OptionVotes

YES

4332

1311

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

Jan 28, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60%chance

351261778

OptionVotes

YES

1913

1396

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

Jan 6, 10:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.61%chance

363203865

OptionVotes

YES

5792

4778

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In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100

In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2060?

In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?

[ACX 2026] Will an AI-created song chart in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?

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