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YZi Labs Backs USD AI Stablecoin in Push Into AI-Linked DeFi
Authors
3
3 months ago
Google Raises TeraWulf Stake to 14% on Lake Mariner Expansion
Authors
31
4 months ago
Musk Tests X Feed on Grok 4 Mini, Eyes 20,000-GPU Rollout
Authors
11
4 months ago
Prediction markets for AI
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
27.28%chance
412611081532
OptionVotes
28995
16621
OptionVotes
8555
2023
OptionVotes
3529
1819
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Feb 20, 10:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
74.7%chance
24871933296
OptionVotes
9966
2320
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
49.45%chance
958695692
OptionVotes
10084
9803
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
12.63%chance
802467730
OptionVotes
48915
11661
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
51.59%chance
472396309
OptionVotes
3236
1913
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
31.32%chance
480364022
OptionVotes
2874
2054
OptionVotes
4175
1332
Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?
Mar 11, 6:21 AMMar 18, 6:59 AM
59.04%chance
194268635
OptionVotes
5839
3348
In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?
Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
86.08%chance
503200664
OptionVotes
5243
1084
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full low-quality movie to a prompt?
Jan 28, 4:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
75%chance
293194677
OptionVotes
2746
1002
Latest stories
Latest stories
- YZi Labs Backs USD AI Stablecoin in Push Into AI-Linked DeFiAuthors33 months ago
- Google Raises TeraWulf Stake to 14% on Lake Mariner ExpansionAuthors314 months ago
- Musk Tests X Feed on Grok 4 Mini, Eyes 20,000-GPU RolloutAuthors114 months ago
