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Top stories

Hit-and-Run Driver Kills 22-Year-Old Pedestrian in Chicago’s Gage Park

Hit-and-Run Driver Kills 22-Year-Old Pedestrian in Chicago’s Gage Park

Authors

8

5 days ago

Prediction markets for Area One

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.79%chance

1964882

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6128

4633

Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be freed into the US at any point in 2025?

Apr 10, 11:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.69%chance

12053616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1503

665

Will the OpenAI Non-Profit become a major AI Safety research funder? (Announced by end of 2025)

Dec 28, 12:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.98%chance

1923681

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22111

4523

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.5%chance

1812354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9625

2195

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.08%chance

188507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6378

3288

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.08%chance

127430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7704

2333

Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.7%chance

266994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7748

3856

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

63.71%chance

596835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13221

7577

Will GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.71%chance

156504

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6529

2770

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.01%chance

175392

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9916

2845

Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.09%chance

124921

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5899

3086

Will there be one organoid/organ-on-a-chip on human organs with higher ROC-area for testing poisons than mouse studies?

Mar 28, 6:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

48.64%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 9, 2025
Aug 9, 2025
Crime
Chicago
Culture
Hit-and-Run Driver Kills 22-Year-Old Pedestrian in Chicago’s Gage Park
Authors
8
5 days ago

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