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ARN News
Prediction markets for ARN
Prediction markets for ARN
Is Fredi9999 Frédéric Arnault?
Oct 17, 10:49 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
1%
chance
14
3325
Option
Votes
YES
NO
995
10
Will a SOTA model be trained with Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks by 2029?
May 3, 2:19 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
7.59%
chance
15
503
Option
Votes
YES
NO
349
29
Will a leading AI company productize Kolmogorov–Arnold Networks (KAN) by 2026?
May 6, 2:26 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
12.29%
chance
19
495
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1369
906
Will any model of the LMSYS chatbot arena top 30 at the end of 2025 use Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN)?
May 6, 10:01 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
7.65%
chance
10
379
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1308
924
Will Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) be used/studied in at least five orals at NeurIPS 2027?
May 2, 7:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7.99%
chance
11
323
Option
Votes
YES
NO
339
29
Will Tyler Arnold (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 20, 1:41 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
18%
chance
5
191
Option
Votes
YES
NO
239
112
Will Bernard Arnault (CEO of Louis Vuitton) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Mar 21, 2:22 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.13%
chance
4
112
Option
Votes
YES
NO
202
55
Will Arnav Shah win EITHER an Emergent Ventures or Thiel Fellowship by 2028?
Apr 21, 10:24 AM
Apr 29, 6:59 AM
41.35%
chance
4
30
Option
Votes
YES
NO
143
100
Liverpool Premiership Probability above 35% at EOY2025
Jun 30, 5:43 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
50%
chance
1
12
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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