Assembly News

NYPD Investigates Car Bomb and Death Threats, Anti-Muslim Voicemails Against Democratic Mayoral Candidate Zohran Mamdani

1 month ago

Speaker Didiza Directs Ad Hoc Committee to Probe KZN Police Commissioner Mkhwanazi’s Corruption Allegations; DA Charges Police Minister Mchunu

13 days ago

Will the French President of the Republic dissolve the National Assembly again before the end of 2025 ?

Jul 18, 8:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

60.19%chance

152832

OptionVotes

YES

1230

813

Will Optimus be used on the Optimus assembly line before the end of 2025?

Nov 23, 6:53 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

23.16%chance

192186

OptionVotes

YES

1822

549

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Mar 16, 11:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

52.64%chance

361361

OptionVotes

YES

1132

819

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Jun 13, 7:28 PMJun 3, 4:41 PM

46.74%chance

14929

OptionVotes

YES

1068

937

Will Iran assemble a nuclear bomb before January 2026?

Jun 13, 12:58 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

6.34%chance

19901

OptionVotes

YES

384

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

14587

OptionVotes

YES

1139

442

Will all extant mammal species have their genome sequenced and assembled by 2035?

Aug 29, 11:05 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.7%chance

12569

OptionVotes

YES

1132

955

UK recognizes Palestine as a state at the UN General Assembly in September 2025

Jul 29, 8:41 PMSep 25, 11:59 PM

57.8%chance

10510

OptionVotes

YES

1170

854

Will the nutritional mix for baby formula turn out to be relatively harmful compared to foods that could have have been assembled at home with ingredients that can be commonly found in an American ?

May 20, 1:20 PMMay 28, 3:59 AM

15.37%chance

14317

OptionVotes

YES

1181

868

How many seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey’s 2025 General Assembly election?

Apr 26, 3:36 AMNov 11, 11:59 PM

3182

In the next Northern Ireland Assembly election, will nationalists win at least as many seats as unionists?

Jan 14, 2:12 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM

77.74%chance

8155

OptionVotes

YES

237

164

What percentage of the vote will CNL party win in 2025 Burundian National Assembly election?

Jun 3, 6:54 PMJan 5, 11:59 PM

1125

OptionProbability

[0-5]

[6-15]

[16-25]

[26-35]

[36-100]

Latest stories

Jul 20, 2025
Jul 20, 2025
South Africa
Crime
Politics
Speaker Didiza Directs Ad Hoc Committee to Probe KZN Police Commissioner Mkhwanazi’s Corruption Allegations; DA Charges Police Minister Mchunu
Authors
8
13 days ago
Jun 20, 2025
Jun 20, 2025
Crime
New York
Culture
NYPD Investigates Car Bomb and Death Threats, Anti-Muslim Voicemails Against Democratic Mayoral Candidate Zohran Mamdani
Authors
14
1 month ago

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Prediction markets for Assembly

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Prediction markets for Assembly

Will the French President of the Republic dissolve the National Assembly again before the end of 2025 ?

Will Optimus be used on the Optimus assembly line before the end of 2025?

Will a complex nanoscale self-replicating assembler be developed before 2040?

Will there be a United Nations General Assembly discussing the benefits and risks of AGI before June 2026?

Will Iran assemble a nuclear bomb before January 2026?

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Will all extant mammal species have their genome sequenced and assembled by 2035?

UK recognizes Palestine as a state at the UN General Assembly in September 2025

Will the nutritional mix for baby formula turn out to be relatively harmful compared to foods that could have have been assembled at home with ingredients that can be commonly found in an American ?

How many seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey’s 2025 General Assembly election?

In the next Northern Ireland Assembly election, will nationalists win at least as many seats as unionists?

What percentage of the vote will CNL party win in 2025 Burundian National Assembly election?

Latest stories

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