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Top stories

Israeli Officials Warn of Gaza Escalation Without Hostage Deal; Katz Cites Hamas Response Improving After Rafah

Israeli Officials Warn of Gaza Escalation Without Hostage Deal; Katz Cites Hamas Response Improving After Rafah

Authors

9

10 days ago

Israeli Officials Threaten Wider Gaza Offensive as Talks With Hamas Falter

US Foreign Policy

Israeli Officials Threaten Wider Gaza Offensive as Talks With Hamas Falter

Authors

10

2 days ago

Senator Presses Amazon on Grocery Price Hikes Tied to Tariffs

Authors

5

3 days ago

US Foreign Policy

Markets Hold Steady as Trump Offers Few Details on New Trade Deals

Authors

3

4 days ago

US Foreign Policy

Iran Warns U.S. May Weaponize Nuclear Talks for New Strikes

Authors

5

10 days ago

US Foreign Policy

White House Aides Call Netanyahu’s Syria Strikes ‘Madman’ Actions

Authors

4

13 days ago

Prediction markets for Axios

Who has received USAID funding?

Feb 5, 5:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

123398

OptionProbability

Reuters

The Washington Post

NBC

Associated Press

NPR

MSNBC

The Wall Street Journal

Axios

Wired

CNN

Environmental Defense Fund

The Trump Organization

The New York Times

Wikimedia Foundation

Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation

Sierra Club

Black Lives Matter

Greenpeace

Hamas

41

38

36

34

32

30

30

30

30

28

25

25

21

21

20

18

13

13

12

Will we observe clear evidence of axions by January 1st 2030

Feb 14, 1:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.94%chance

171967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1973

753

Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?

Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.93%chance

131580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

1287

Will an Axiom built module be attached to the ISS before 2027?

Oct 4, 12:15 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1.05%chance

6804

OptionVotes

YES

NO

764

5

Will fermats last theorem be formalized in lean down to the axiom in 5 years.

Feb 14, 6:58 PMFeb 22, 6:29 PM

48.71%chance

17579

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

204

Axiom of Choice stock

Apr 2, 7:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.31%chance

20526

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1328

823

Will musicians and bands unionize before 2030?

Oct 14, 4:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.95%chance

9187

OptionVotes

NO

YES

207

193

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1061

942

Will Tim Peake go to space on a UK-Axiom mission before 2030?

Oct 27, 8:14 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

48.52%chance

680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

108

Axiom Station launches before January 1, 2027 (AI)

Dec 2, 6:23 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

33.19%chance

468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

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