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FDA Expands Recall of Walmart and Other Frozen Shrimp Brands Over Radioactive Cesium-137 Contamination in Multiple States

3 months ago

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.25%chance

88143181

OptionVotes

YES

106395

18257

Will GPT-5 be able to solve A::B system puzzles consistently

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5811984

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YES

2244

222

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22.01%chance

175392

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YES

9916

2845

10. The first real AI safety incident will occur.

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28.29%chance

213651

OptionVotes

YES

1592

628

Will the Three Body Problem netflix series turn everyone into femboys?

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52.73%chance

311709

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YES

1321

302

Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030?

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35.06%chance

151073

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YES

1361

735

Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?

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32930

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1password

Bitwarden

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

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18.25%chance

18894

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YES

1259

922

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50.65%chance

7826

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YES

1013

987

Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?

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37.62%chance

12670

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YES

1288

777

Thermal decomposition battery commercialized by 2050

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34.28%chance

13428

OptionVotes

YES

1040

971

Suggest me some couch coop games to play with my partner. Bounty to the best games we haven’t played yet.

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Aug 27, 2025
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FDA Expands Recall of Walmart and Other Frozen Shrimp Brands Over Radioactive Cesium-137 Contamination in Multiple States
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Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Will GPT-5 be able to solve A::B system puzzles consistently

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

10. The first real AI safety incident will occur.

Will the Three Body Problem netflix series turn everyone into femboys?

Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030?

Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Will Manifold help me secure 1:1 tutoring students I love working with by EOY 2025?

Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?

Thermal decomposition battery commercialized by 2050

Suggest me some couch coop games to play with my partner. Bounty to the best games we haven’t played yet.

Latest stories

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