Best Yet News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Best Yet
Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?
Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.39%chance
86134411
OptionVotes
108928
17670
Will GPT-5 be able to solve A::B system puzzles consistently
Apr 5, 2:04 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
15.46%chance
5711934
OptionVotes
2194
231
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.01%chance
175392
OptionVotes
9916
2845
Will the Friend Wearable AI sell more than 10k units by end of 2025?
Jul 31, 6:06 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
22.2%chance
515300
OptionVotes
1872
534
OptionVotes
1008
992
Will the Three Body Problem netflix series turn everyone into femboys?
May 8, 5:13 AMApr 21, 6:59 AM
45.27%chance
301611
OptionVotes
1243
383
Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030?
Jun 15, 1:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.61%chance
14973
OptionVotes
1261
793
Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?
Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32925
OptionProbability
57
43
[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?
Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
18.25%chance
18894
OptionVotes
1259
922
Will AI pass the Rube Goldberg Turing test by the end of 2028?
Jul 18, 7:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.62%chance
12670
OptionVotes
1288
777
OptionVotes
1040
971