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Gabbard Bars Five Eyes From U.S. Intel on Russia-Ukraine Talks

10 months ago

House Democrats Probe Paramount–Skydance Deal Over Alleged $16 Million Trump Bribe

Law

Politics

Business

House Democrats Probe Paramount–Skydance Deal Over Alleged $16 Million Trump Bribe

10 months ago

Iowa Republican Joni Ernst Will Not Seek Senate Re-election in 2026

US Gov Appointments

Politics

Iowa Republican Joni Ernst Will Not Seek Senate Re-election in 2026

10 months ago

Middle East

War

Law

Whistleblower Alleges Gaza Aid Contractor Shot Civilians; U.S. Funding Faces Lawsuit

10 months ago

Uganda

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Trump Secures Honduras, Uganda Pacts for Third-Country Migrant Deportations

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Law

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Shari Redstone Sells Paramount Amid Baseless Trump Lawsuit Settlement Citing Need for Balance; Knight and Ford Foundations Pledge $26.5M to Support CPB Stations

10 months ago

Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?

Feb 7, 9:09 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

2.63%chance

7429608

OptionVotes

YES

6082

164

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Mar 11, 8:32 PMMar 12, 11:59 PM

7.32%chance

10013504

OptionVotes

YES

3559

281

Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?

Jan 19, 9:56 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

12.88%chance

162540

OptionVotes

YES

2601

385

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief till

Dec 22, 7:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

71972

OptionProbability

End of June 2026

End of 2026

End of 2027

End of 2028

End of 2029

End of 2030

Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

Sep 7, 1:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.01%chance

261841

OptionVotes

YES

1017

975

Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?

Jun 6, 10:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.61%chance

271389

OptionVotes

YES

1167

885

Who/what will have done a "right wing pivot" before 2027?

Feb 26, 5:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30782

OptionProbability

The Washington Post

Neil Gaiman

Sam Bankman-Fried

CBS News

Gavin Newsom

CNN

Drake

Ezra Klein

John Fetterman

MrBeast

Sam Altman

Disney

Manifold

MSNOW (formerly MSNBC)

The Papacy

Taylor Lorenz

Bluesky

Contrapoints (Natalie Wynn)

Jon Stewart

Taylor Swift

Which U.S. late-night show host will still be hosting their show by Dec 2028, given recent firings and suspensions.

Sep 19, 8:38 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

15544

OptionProbability

John Oliver

Jimmy Kimmel

Jimmy Fallon

Seth Meyers

Bill Maher

Stephen Colbert

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Oct 22, 10:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.84%chance

5245

OptionVotes

YES

1148

871

Bari Weiss out as CBS News editor-in-chief before July 2026?

Oct 3, 3:14 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

15.01%chance

6186

OptionVotes

YES

238

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

May 12, 5:33 PMJan 1, 6:33 PM

52.98%chance

5183

OptionVotes

YES

1061

942

Cage Homes in the U.S./Canada by 2035 year end?

Sep 19, 12:09 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

29.99%chance

9136

OptionVotes

YES

411

361

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Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?

Will Iran strike US soil this year?

Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief till

Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?

Who/what will have done a "right wing pivot" before 2027?

Which U.S. late-night show host will still be hosting their show by Dec 2028, given recent firings and suspensions.

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Bari Weiss out as CBS News editor-in-chief before July 2026?

Rippling wins its lawsuit against Deel by 2028?

Cage Homes in the U.S./Canada by 2035 year end?

Latest stories

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