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Initiation and Investigation: A member or committee of the House of Representatives begins impeachment proceedings. The House Judiciary Committee investigates the allegations of misconduct

Charges: If the committee finds sufficient evidence, it acts as a prosecutor and brings charges against the judge.

The U.S. Court of Appeals or the Supreme Court overturns Judge Engelmayer's ruling to block Executive cabinet and staffers from accessing U.S. Treasury records, and no impeachment proceedings are initiated by May 9, 2025.

House Votes YES to Impeach: The entire House of Representatives votes on the impeachment. A simple majority is required to impeach the judge.

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Market chaos

Vacant House seats at start of term

Bonus underlying chaos

Any member seated who was not the winner

Bonus market chaos

Vacant Senate seats at start of term

Any state misses filing deadlines for certified results

Majority control discrepancy in the Senate

Majority control discrepancy in the House

Congress refuses to accept any certified result

Failure to establish a quorum in first roll-call vote (either chamber)

Multiple Speaker ballots, or failure to elect a Speaker on the first day

Any member-elect changes parties

Any major news organization retracts a call

New election ordered for any seat

Senator not up for re-election changes party

Any member-elect denied the oath of office

Any election delayed

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