Central Military Commission News

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?

Sep 18, 9:05 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.45%chance

19227183

OptionVotes

YES

1888

863

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

325948

OptionProbability

Other

Li Qiang (Premier, 2nd rank PSC member)

Ding Xuexiang (Vice Premier, 6th rank PSC member)

Chen Jining (Party Secretary of Shanghai)

Zhang Youxia (Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission)

Wang Yang (former Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference)

[Nobody] (Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary)

Cai Qi (5th rank PSC member, first-ranked of Secretariat)

Li Xi (7th rank PSC member, Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection)

Wang Yi (Foreign Minister)

Wang Huning (tourist, political theorist, and 4th rank PSC member)

Chen Min'er (Party Secretary of Tianjin)

Yuan Jiajun (Party Secretary of Chongqing)

Yin Li (Party Secretary of Beijing)

Li Shulei (Head of Party Publicity)

Zhao Leji (3rd rank PSC member, chairman of NPC Standing Committee)

Chen Wenqing (Secretary of the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission)

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2026?

Nov 17, 3:53 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

3.98%chance

141477

OptionVotes

YES

779

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2030?

Dec 31, 1:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.8%chance

261164

OptionVotes

YES

1157

785

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027?

Dec 31, 1:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.63%chance

21587

OptionVotes

YES

149

133

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2030?

Nov 17, 4:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31.94%chance

295

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

72.78%chance

491

OptionVotes

YES

131

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2035?

Nov 17, 4:08 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

81.59%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

170

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2027?

Nov 17, 3:58 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.25%chance

555

OptionVotes

YES

149

Has PLA General He Weidong (何卫东) been arrested?

Mar 18, 5:01 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

69.23%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

150

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2029?

Nov 17, 4:00 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

39.96%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2028?

Nov 17, 3:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.11%chance

226

OptionVotes

YES

Central Military Commission News

Prediction markets for Central Military Commission

Prediction markets for Central Military Commission

Prediction markets for Central Military Commission

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2026?

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2030?

Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027?

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2030?

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2035?

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2027?

Has PLA General He Weidong (何卫东) been arrested?

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2029?

Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2028?

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