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Prediction markets for Central Military Commission
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
Sep 18, 9:05 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
2.11%chance
21844056
OptionVotes
6332
676
Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?
Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
356265
OptionProbability
51
13
9
8
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027?
Dec 31, 1:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
25%chance
372448
OptionVotes
177
131
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before 2030?
Dec 31, 1:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
49.93%chance
271243
OptionVotes
1178
764
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2028?
Dec 31, 1:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
31.44%chance
331066
OptionVotes
184
184
OptionVotes
1100
977
Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?
Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM
91%chance
8244
OptionVotes
282
38
Will Liu Zhenli be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
Jan 21, 4:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.65%chance
7135
OptionVotes
159
63
Will Zhang Youxia be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
Jan 21, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.74%chance
3125
OptionVotes
142
71
Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2035?
Nov 17, 4:08 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
81.59%chance
480
OptionVotes
170
56
Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2028?
Nov 17, 3:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
32.8%chance
441
OptionVotes
97
53
Will Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
Jan 21, 3:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
39.02%chance
125
OptionVotes
125
80
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