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Prediction markets for City
OptionProbability
82
9
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
83
9
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
26
24
11
8
8
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Apr 4, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
83%chance
11419905
OptionVotes
4405
1278
Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?
Aug 27, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.05%chance
11911172
OptionVotes
1974
1824
OptionVotes
1027
705
Would a Manifold meetup in these cities get 10+ participants this year?
Apr 5, 2:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
98513
OptionProbability
90
69
57
49
41
14
Will Manchester City be severely punished by the Premier League?
Feb 4, 3:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
30.06%chance
494433
OptionVotes
4119
2258
US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028
Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM
47.66%chance
52539
OptionVotes
10480
9542
Will any city >50k have energy "too cheap to meter" by 2035?
Aug 2, 2:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
14.24%chance
121930
OptionVotes
1129
955
In what state will the Kansas City Chiefs play a majority of their home games in the 2031 NFL season?
Jul 24, 2:54 AMJan 26, 5:59 AM
31771
OptionProbability
70
28
2
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 11
Apr 8, 3:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
50
50
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