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Prediction markets for Control
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
294415865
OptionProbability
52
37
10
0
0
0
0
0
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Nov 7, 6:10 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM
37.04%chance
151117929
OptionVotes
1305
768
At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
Nov 12, 11:10 AMJun 1, 12:59 AM
12.23%chance
28999888
OptionVotes
5948
652
Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.59%chance
6055039
OptionVotes
41085
2434
Will there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?
Apr 28, 9:28 PMJan 1, 10:27 PM
15.01%chance
3025283
OptionVotes
23796
4202
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?
Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
21.32%chance
8821179
OptionVotes
13505
8680
Will the US implement some form of capital control by 2029?
Mar 9, 11:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.62%chance
5411110
OptionVotes
6126
3286
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.7%chance
266994
OptionVotes
7748
3856
Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.14%chance
136421
OptionVotes
7399
2491
FDA approves YCT-529 male birth control pill before 2035?
Jul 1, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.6%chance
64322
OptionVotes
13448
7436
Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?
Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
53.96%chance
151698
OptionVotes
10382
9514
OptionProbability
33
33
33