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Prediction markets for Control
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
356491272
OptionProbability
45
44
9
1
0
0
0
0
At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
Nov 12, 11:10 AMJun 29, 12:59 AM
17.65%chance
306100899
OptionVotes
4921
829
Did Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
Apr 16, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.62%chance
6273546
OptionVotes
45413
2202
Will there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?
Apr 28, 9:28 PMJan 1, 10:27 PM
9.95%chance
3933854
OptionVotes
30085
3324
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?
Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
19.65%chance
9122191
OptionVotes
14513
8421
Will the US implement some form of capital control by 2029?
Mar 9, 11:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.62%chance
5411110
OptionVotes
6126
3286
OptionProbability
55
45
0
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.89%chance
307328
OptionVotes
8082
3701
Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.83%chance
146935
OptionVotes
7913
2338
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?
Jun 9, 5:07 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM
15%chance
446918
OptionVotes
762
94
FDA approves YCT-529 male birth control pill before 2035?
Jul 1, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.6%chance
64322
OptionVotes
13448
7436
Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?
Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
54.42%chance
171802
OptionVotes
10297
9614