CPI News

YES

Mana gets devalued (compared to USD) again (donation rate used 1000M:0.95USD).

Global temperature > 1.5°C Paris Agreement

This market reaches 50k in total volume.

This market reaches 50+ answers.

This market reaches 100+ traders.

This market reaches 500k in total volume.

This market reaches 250+ traders.

Ray Kurzweil dies

30 different users add an answer to this market.

Alcor still exists, and nobody in their freezers has been thawe.

A human walks on Mars.

This market reaches 100+ answers.

This market reaches 500+ traders.

Someone gets a (Manifold) networth of 1B+ mana.

organs for transplantation are mostly artificial/laboratory grown for the biological humans

(Nominal) worldwide GDP reaches 500T USD.

China's GDP surpasses that of the United States

This market reaches 1000+ traders.

Strutheo's Manifold approval market index remains at or above 75% for one month

A manifold market reaches over 20k individual traders.

The UN reaches 200 member states.

A manifold market reaches over 10k individual traders.

A Manifold business is valued at over 10M Mana (by a significant >2.5% purchase)

Global extreme poverty below 1% of the population

YoY US inflation (CPI) reaches over 25%

Elon Musk goes bald a second time.

A worldwide pandemic kills at least 2% of the human population in a single year.

An ASI trades on, adds an option to, or comments on this market.

Worldwide carbon neutrality is achieved.

Malaria goes extinct

Manifold shuts down.

3 US presidential candidates get at least 60 electoral votes each in a US presidential election.

This market gets a Sweepstakes/other cash version.

A US president gets elected with over 450 electoral votes.

the calendar is changed

majority of human babies are delivered from artificial system, rather than via natural pregnancy

A billionaire successfully buys a country.

USA has a single-payer healthcare system.

@GastonKessler goes to space.

A billionaire CEO successfully buys a country.

YES

>2%

>3%

>4%

>5%

>6%

NO

YES

NO

YES

Mana gets devalued (compared to USD) again (donation rate used 1000M:0.95USD).

Global extreme poverty below 1% of the population

A human walks on Mars.

China's GDP surpasses that of the United States

Malaria goes extinct

Alcor still exists, and nobody in their freezers has been thawe.

USA has a single-payer healthcare system.

Manifold shuts down.

YoY US inflation (CPI) reaches over 25%

Worldwide carbon neutrality is achieved.

(Nominal) worldwide GDP reaches 500T USD.

This market reaches 100+ traders.

This market reaches 250+ traders.

This market reaches 500+ traders.

This market reaches 50+ answers.

Someone gets a (Manifold) networth of 1B+ mana.

organs for transplantation are mostly artificial/laboratory grown for the biological humans

This market reaches 50k in total volume.

An ASI trades on, adds an option to, or comments on this market.

@GastonKessler goes to space.

Elon Musk goes bald a second time.

A billionaire CEO successfully buys a country.

This market reaches 100+ answers.

Ray Kurzweil dies

the calendar is changed

Global temperature > 1.5°C Paris Agreement

30 different users add an answer to this market.

3 US presidential candidates get at least 60 electoral votes each in a US presidential election.

The UN reaches 200 member states.

This market reaches 500k in total volume.

This market gets a Sweepstakes/other cash version.

A US president gets elected with over 450 electoral votes.

Strutheo's Manifold approval market index remains at or above 75% for one month

majority of human babies are delivered from artificial system, rather than via natural pregnancy

A worldwide pandemic kills at least 2% of the human population in a single year.

A billionaire successfully buys a country.

A US president (other than FDR) has served three terms.

YES

NO