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Prediction markets for DC
Will there be a news article about Manifest x DC 2025?
Sep 23, 4:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.98%chance
72211
OptionVotes
3183
314
Will there be a Marvel and DC Comics crossover movie released by the end of 2028?
May 8, 11:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.49%chance
111503
OptionVotes
2370
498
This market resolves to the majority once a portion of its graph traces out a silhouette of the DC skyline.
May 28, 12:22 AMJun 28, 10:59 PM
50.72%chance
111296
OptionVotes
218
201
If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?
Mar 11, 3:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
40.75%chance
22858
OptionVotes
1120
906
What will happen as a result of the DC National Guard shooting by the end of 2025?
Nov 26, 11:22 PMDec 31, 11:16 PM
20830
OptionProbability
77
59
36
30
28
21
17
8
0
During the Trump presidency, will median home prices in Washington DC dip below 500k?
Nov 9, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
39.58%chance
9735
OptionVotes
1236
809
Ramzan Kadyrov visits and publicly appears in London, Paris, Berlin, New York or Washington DC before 2032
May 11, 7:15 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
9.28%chance
10402
OptionVotes
1247
941
OptionVotes
1021
962
Will the National Guard shoot at a potential criminal in DC this year?
Sep 5, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
53.86%chance
8332
OptionVotes
108
93
Will Daylight Computers Release a second generation of the DC-1 tablet before 2028?
May 24, 6:43 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
63.38%chance
7321
OptionVotes
1316
760
OptionVotes
1013
978
Will "One Year in DC" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 21, 11:16 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
Latest stories
Latest stories
- TT Games Reveals Lego Batman: Legacy of the Dark Knight for 2026Authors174 months ago
