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Top stories

Ukraine Hits Russian Corvette as Moscow Claims Drone Sinks Ukrainian Ship

Ukraine Hits Russian Corvette as Moscow Claims Drone Sinks Ukrainian Ship

Authors

11

5 months ago

China Warns Philippines Over Second Thomas Shoal Resupply, Threatens Countermeasures

China Warns Philippines Over Second Thomas Shoal Resupply, Threatens Countermeasures

Authors

5

5 months ago

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Authors

24

5 months ago

FARC Dissidents Kidnap 34 Colombian Soldiers in Amazon Region

Authors

10

5 months ago

Japan to Request Record ¥8.8 Trillion Defense Budget Amid U.S. Pentagon Discontent, Fighter Jet Plans, Mitsubishi Stock Drop

Authors

4

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Defense Ministry

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

31.33%chance

526245516

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6901

6797

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.01%chance

85507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15284

6552

Will a Galactic Federation reveal itself to humanity by the end of 2050?

May 2, 2:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.01%chance

244587

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2539

52

Raul Castro dies before 2027?

Nov 22, 5:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

41.68%chance

6624

OptionVotes

YES

NO

438

100

Would the invasion of Greenland by US military force be unethical and immoral?

Jan 20, 4:23 PMFeb 19, 4:21 PM

5383

OptionProbability

Yes

No

93

7

Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?

Oct 12, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

56.42%chance

15376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will Liu Zhenli be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.65%chance

7135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

63

When violence between Russia and Ukraine formally ends, will Russia attack a non OTAN/NATO neighbour within 2 years?

Feb 22, 12:05 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

43.42%chance

590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

984

Will the CCP add more members to the Central Military Commission before 2027?

Jan 27, 8:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will a spokesperson for the PRC Ministry of National Defense confirm that Dong Jun is under investigation by this date?

Dec 16, 9:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

215

OptionProbability

January 1st 2026

January 1st 2027

January 1st 2028

July 1st 2025

50

50

50

28

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Japan
Economics
Politics
Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars
Authors
24
5 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Russia
Ukraine
War
Ukraine Hits Russian Corvette as Moscow Claims Drone Sinks Ukrainian Ship
Authors
11
5 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
China
Philippines
Politics
China Warns Philippines Over Second Thomas Shoal Resupply, Threatens Countermeasures
Authors
5
5 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Colombia
War
Politics
FARC Dissidents Kidnap 34 Colombian Soldiers in Amazon Region
Authors
10
5 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Japan
Stocks
Politics
Japan to Request Record ¥8.8 Trillion Defense Budget Amid U.S. Pentagon Discontent, Fighter Jet Plans, Mitsubishi Stock Drop
Authors
4
6 months ago

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