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Top stories

Ukraine Hits Russian Corvette as Moscow Claims Drone Sinks Ukrainian Ship

Ukraine Hits Russian Corvette as Moscow Claims Drone Sinks Ukrainian Ship

Authors

11

1 year ago

China Warns Philippines Over Second Thomas Shoal Resupply, Threatens Countermeasures

China Warns Philippines Over Second Thomas Shoal Resupply, Threatens Countermeasures

Authors

5

1 year ago

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Authors

24

1 year ago

FARC Dissidents Kidnap 34 Colombian Soldiers in Amazon Region

Authors

10

1 year ago

Japan to Request Record ¥8.8 Trillion Defense Budget Amid U.S. Pentagon Discontent, Fighter Jet Plans, Mitsubishi Stock Drop

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Defense Ministry

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.63%chance

3315534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15062

6649

Will a Galactic Federation reveal itself to humanity by the end of 2050?

May 2, 2:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.13%chance

254589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2353

54

China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026

Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.12%chance

353812

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3915

255

Raul Castro dies before 2027?

Nov 22, 5:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

17.83%chance

8771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

585

41

Will France cut off funding to Ukraine in 2027?

Oct 18, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.89%chance

14743

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1336

748

Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027

Mar 7, 1:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.97%chance

7240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

422

165

Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027?

Mar 29, 1:43 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

33.23%chance

10162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

71

Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?

Mar 16, 9:29 PMMar 16, 9:28 PM

65.93%chance

12152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

Will Liu Zhenli be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.65%chance

7135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

63

When violence between Russia and Ukraine formally ends, will Russia attack a non OTAN/NATO neighbour within 2 years?

Feb 22, 12:05 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

43.42%chance

590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

984

Will a spokesperson for the PRC Ministry of National Defense confirm that Dong Jun is under investigation by this date?

Dec 16, 9:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

215

OptionProbability

January 1st 2026

January 1st 2027

January 1st 2028

July 1st 2025

50

50

50

28

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Japan
Economics
Politics
Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars
Authors
24
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Russia
Ukraine
War
Ukraine Hits Russian Corvette as Moscow Claims Drone Sinks Ukrainian Ship
Authors
11
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
China
Philippines
Politics
China Warns Philippines Over Second Thomas Shoal Resupply, Threatens Countermeasures
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Colombia
War
Politics
FARC Dissidents Kidnap 34 Colombian Soldiers in Amazon Region
Authors
10
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Japan
Stocks
Politics
Japan to Request Record ¥8.8 Trillion Defense Budget Amid U.S. Pentagon Discontent, Fighter Jet Plans, Mitsubishi Stock Drop
Authors
4
1 year ago

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