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Top stories

Ukraine Hits Russian Corvette as Moscow Claims Drone Sinks Ukrainian Ship

Ukraine Hits Russian Corvette as Moscow Claims Drone Sinks Ukrainian Ship

Authors

11

3 months ago

China Warns Philippines Over Second Thomas Shoal Resupply, Threatens Countermeasures

China Warns Philippines Over Second Thomas Shoal Resupply, Threatens Countermeasures

Authors

5

3 months ago

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars

Authors

24

3 months ago

FARC Dissidents Kidnap 34 Colombian Soldiers in Amazon Region

Authors

10

3 months ago

Japan to Request Record ¥8.8 Trillion Defense Budget Amid U.S. Pentagon Discontent, Fighter Jet Plans, Mitsubishi Stock Drop

Authors

4

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Defense Ministry

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

43.72%chance

507233913

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8134

4706

Will a Galactic Federation reveal itself to humanity by the end of 2050?

May 2, 2:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

0.46%chance

224575

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4313

40

First confirmed Tomahawk use by Ukraine

Oct 14, 11:34 AMFeb 1, 12:32 PM

11701

OptionProbability

Before February 2026

Before January 2026

Before December 2025

Before November 2025

42

21

10

0

Hamas-Israel hostilities in Gaza resume by June 30, 2026?

Oct 12, 10:32 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

66.84%chance

14353

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Turkish troops stationed in Gaza by end of 2025?

Oct 9, 2:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.14%chance

13347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

361

28

Raul Castro dies before 2027?

Nov 22, 5:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

41.1%chance

4302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1197

835

When violence between Russia and Ukraine formally ends, will Russia attack a non OTAN/NATO neighbour within 2 years?

Feb 22, 12:05 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

43.42%chance

590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

298

264

Will a spokesperson for the PRC Ministry of National Defense confirm that Dong Jun is under investigation by this date?

Dec 16, 9:30 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

215

OptionProbability

January 1st 2026

January 1st 2027

January 1st 2028

July 1st 2025

50

50

50

28

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Japan
Economics
Politics
Japan Eyes Record ¥122 Trillion Budget as Defense Drone Spending Soars
Authors
24
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Russia
Ukraine
War
Ukraine Hits Russian Corvette as Moscow Claims Drone Sinks Ukrainian Ship
Authors
11
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
China
Philippines
Politics
China Warns Philippines Over Second Thomas Shoal Resupply, Threatens Countermeasures
Authors
5
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Colombia
War
Politics
FARC Dissidents Kidnap 34 Colombian Soldiers in Amazon Region
Authors
10
3 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Japan
Stocks
Politics
Japan to Request Record ¥8.8 Trillion Defense Budget Amid U.S. Pentagon Discontent, Fighter Jet Plans, Mitsubishi Stock Drop
Authors
4
4 months ago

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