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Prediction markets for Education
Will the US Department of Education cease to exist during the Trump administration?
Nov 11, 11:36 PMFeb 21, 4:59 AM
7%chance
7821906
OptionVotes
1964
37
OptionVotes
4359
229
If elected, will Donald Trump dismantle the department of education as promised?
Jun 26, 4:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
66.55%chance
497562
OptionVotes
1436
722
OptionVotes
3899
256
Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?
Jan 3, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
443928
OptionVotes
1250
788
Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.92%chance
92626
OptionVotes
4193
4124
Will evolutionary psychology be adopted into mainstream psychology education by 2050?
Apr 8, 9:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM
76.97%chance
19568
OptionVotes
1409
832
Will the cost of higher education in the US maintain an average growth rate above 3% until 2040?
Apr 16, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.88%chance
13540
OptionVotes
1338
666
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?
Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM
31.41%chance
16398
OptionVotes
1021
930
Chinese university beats Harvard in Times Higher Education ranking by 2031?
Apr 23, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
70.15%chance
5315
OptionVotes
154
66
When will Republicans become more educated on average than Democrats?
Apr 9, 11:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5312
OptionProbability
51
34
24
22
19
12
Will the college educated White vote swing toward the Republican presidential nominee in 2028 relative to 2024?
Jan 25, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.53%chance
5101
OptionVotes
180
55
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