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Top stories

Enhance Sets Nov. 11 Launch for ‘Lumines Arise’, Issues One-Week Demo

Enhance Sets Nov. 11 Launch for ‘Lumines Arise’, Issues One-Week Demo

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Enhance

Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?

May 17, 11:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.9%chance

241876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4120

3063

Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?

Jan 17, 10:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.88%chance

241370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1779

1135

How much enhanced geothermal power in the US by 2030?

Nov 1, 3:14 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6703

OptionProbability

1 GW to 2 GW

2 GW to 4 GW

4 GW to 8 GW

>8 GW

<1 GW

29

28

21

13

10

Will enhanced prosthetics be developed that lead to people voluntarily 'upgrading' their natural limbs by EOY 2040?🦾🦿

Jan 16, 11:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

36.34%chance

25641

OptionVotes

NO

YES

997

986

Will enhanced prosthetics be developed that lead to people voluntarily 'upgrading' their natural limbs by EOY 2050?🦾🦿

Jan 22, 6:59 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

68.01%chance

18451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

909

Will there be a second Enhanced Games before 2029?

Feb 12, 10:30 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

43.55%chance

14330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

189

133

Will the first human to achieve a FIDE chess rating of 3000 be genetically enhanced?

Jun 17, 7:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.64%chance

12291

OptionVotes

NO

YES

252

170

Will Enhanced Game continue running till 2030?

Feb 1, 6:12 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

19.39%chance

11250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

891

Will someone break the Usain Bolt World Record in the 100 Meter Dash at Enhanced Games before 2032?

Jun 5, 3:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

4222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Will enhanced mineral weathering intentionally sequester 100gt CO2eq by 2050

Mar 1, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.52%chance

5215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

758

527

By 2030, can we convert at least 10% of an AI's weights to C code, enhancing interpretability?

Feb 7, 1:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40%chance

6103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

115

Will AI-enhanced video-editing software automatically slow-down frame rate of fast-scrolled videos by EOY 2027?

Feb 28, 7:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

111

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
AR-VR
Video Games
Tech
Enhance Sets Nov. 11 Launch for ‘Lumines Arise’, Issues One-Week Demo
Authors
5
10 months ago

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