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Prediction markets for Financial Services
OptionVotes
5293
2022
A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.
Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
18.94%chance
505679
OptionVotes
1425
852
Will another unofficial mana financial service/product ran by users be shut down by Manifold by EOY 2026?
Feb 2, 6:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
69%chance
335340
OptionVotes
1050
808
OptionVotes
2440
410
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
18.46%chance
191770
OptionVotes
2102
476
Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.08%chance
241733
OptionVotes
1085
921
OptionVotes
1732
577
Will an AI generate $1M in profit by the end of 2029?
Jul 22, 10:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.91%chance
7487
OptionVotes
1319
797
Will Peter McCormack become Mayor of Bedford before 2030?
Jul 16, 10:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
41.07%chance
3300
OptionVotes
1198
835
Will Florida PALM go live as scheduled on January 11, 2027?
May 30, 2:07 AMJan 11, 11:59 PM
44.49%chance
3262
OptionVotes
1117
895
Will my job as a consultant in financial services regulation (UK) be significantly impacted by AI developments by 2035?
Dec 5, 10:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
75%chance
681
OptionVotes
193
97
Will Apple have a program that shuts out access based on non-payment on Apple financial services before 2030?
Dec 12, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.19%chance
238
OptionVotes
65
38