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Prediction markets for Financial Services
A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.
Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
18.94%chance
505679
OptionVotes
1425
852
Will another unofficial mana financial service/product ran by users be shut down by Manifold by EOY 2026?
Feb 2, 6:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
69%chance
325320
OptionVotes
1050
808
OptionVotes
3339
2504
Will Congress pass a bill by the end of Q1 2025 that mandates customer service operations to be located inside the USA?
Nov 23, 3:14 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
16%chance
113133
OptionVotes
2293
437
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
30%chance
10916
OptionVotes
1528
655
Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Oct 30, 1:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
38.22%chance
14858
OptionVotes
1271
787
OptionVotes
300
33
Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?
May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
55.22%chance
2225
OptionVotes
1110
901
OptionVotes
159
63
Will Peter McCormack become Mayor of Bedford before 2030?
Jul 16, 10:17 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
50.11%chance
2100
OptionVotes
1002
998
Will my job as a consultant in financial services regulation (UK) be significantly impacted by AI developments by 2035?
Dec 5, 10:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
75%chance
681
OptionVotes
193
97
Will Apple have a program that shuts out access based on non-payment on Apple financial services before 2030?
Dec 12, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.19%chance
238
OptionVotes
65
38