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Prediction markets for Food and Drug Administration
[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?
Jan 6, 11:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.33%chance
3322452
OptionVotes
6986
4633
FDA approves YCT-529 male birth control pill before 2035?
Jul 1, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24%chance
68682
OptionVotes
17795
5620
Will a Hantavirus Vaccine be created in 2026? [Polymarket]
May 8, 10:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4%chance
396156
OptionVotes
1998
780
Will Ozempic / semaglutide be FDA-approved for Alzheimer's before 2030?
Dec 8, 8:59 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
26.14%chance
393720
OptionVotes
4441
830
Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?
Dec 9, 2:25 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
82247
OptionProbability
100
100
58
50
31
31
31
31
31
31
0
0
0
Will a gene therapy that edits multiple genes using CRISPR be approved by the FDA before 2030?
Jan 26, 12:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
78.93%chance
291208
OptionVotes
1257
900
Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2036?
Jul 14, 11:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
57.59%chance
7575
OptionVotes
6240
5801
By 2035, will the FDA approve a drug that slows the yearly progression of Alzheimer's disease by at least 50%?
Jan 14, 10:58 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
57.12%chance
8407
OptionVotes
1154
866
Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2041?
Jul 14, 11:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
61.17%chance
2255
OptionVotes
1255
797
Any province legalizes psilocybin for recreational use?
Feb 1, 11:40 AMDec 17, 11:59 PM
9.62%chance
4145
OptionVotes
1040
996
Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2031?
Jul 14, 11:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52.44%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
952
Will all mRNA type vaccines be abolished and pulled off market before 2040?
Oct 13, 4:43 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
17.25%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
98
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