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Top stories

UK Summons Israeli Ambassador Over Controversial West Bank Settlement Plan

UK Summons Israeli Ambassador Over Controversial West Bank Settlement Plan

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Foreign Office

Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?

Jan 3, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.23%chance

304131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1311

763

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Nov 8, 4:34 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

24.44%chance

224116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

569

Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?

Jun 5, 9:53 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

6.38%chance

223566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3830

261

If Trump is elected president, will he approve a new foreign aid package to Ukraine while he is in office?

Mar 9, 9:38 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM

62.98%chance

332782

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1153

890

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.94%chance

321986

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1679

610

How quickly will USA lift its sanctions on Russia after the end of Russo-Ukrainian hostilities?

Sep 4, 8:14 AMDec 21, 7:59 AM

211413

OptionProbability

Less than a day

More than a year, less than a decade

More than a week, less than a month

More than a month, less than a year

More than a day, less than a week

More than a decade

36

24

19

14

3

3

By the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.

Dec 20, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.62%chance

251289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

73

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

18.66%chance

26756

OptionVotes

YES

NO

209

48

Will Anthropic substantially reduce its London office size?

Jun 13, 1:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.39%chance

6665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1628

614

Will Graham Platner be the next fetterman?

Mar 10, 8:36 PMDec 30, 7:32 PM

1%chance

12622

OptionVotes

YES

NO

550

186

How many interventions will Trump start in his second term?

Jan 16, 12:49 AMJan 16, 8:59 PM

2553

OptionProbability

20 - 29

5 - 9

10 - 14

15 - 19

30 - 39

0 - 4

40 - 50

22

16

16

16

11

10

7

Trump family members knighted by 2040?

Oct 27, 11:16 PMJan 1, 11:23 PM

10.44%chance

12468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

293

34

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Britain
Israel
World
UK Summons Israeli Ambassador Over Controversial West Bank Settlement Plan
Authors
5
1 year ago

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