Foreign Office News

UK Summons Israeli Ambassador Over Controversial West Bank Settlement Plan

6 months ago

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Nov 8, 4:34 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

24.44%chance

224116

OptionVotes

YES

1759

569

Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?

Jan 3, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.24%chance

243861

OptionVotes

YES

1089

919

Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?

Jun 5, 9:53 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

6.38%chance

223566

OptionVotes

YES

3830

261

If Trump is elected president, will he approve a new foreign aid package to Ukraine while he is in office?

Mar 9, 9:38 PMNov 1, 6:59 AM

63.08%chance

282655

OptionVotes

YES

1156

888

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

YES

1629

626

Will the US conduct a targeted strike on a foreign leader on January 3, 2027?

Jan 3, 5:35 PMJan 4, 11:59 PM

3.48%chance

111118

OptionVotes

YES

527

How many interventions will Trump start in his second term?

Jan 16, 12:49 AMJan 16, 8:59 PM

1543

OptionProbability

20 - 29

5 - 9

10 - 14

15 - 19

30 - 39

0 - 4

40 - 50

Trump family members knighted by 2040?

Oct 27, 11:16 PMJan 1, 11:23 PM

10.44%chance

12468

OptionVotes

YES

293

Credible evidence that Iran was involved in Bondi Beach shooting?

Dec 31, 8:02 AMJul 1, 6:52 AM

4.28%chance

16468

OptionVotes

YES

473

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

20.73%chance

6149

OptionVotes

YES

196

Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term

Jan 17, 4:29 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

57%chance

474

OptionVotes

YES

115

[Metaculus] Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

Nov 7, 2:30 PMFeb 2, 12:00 PM

39.8%chance

539

OptionVotes

YES

147

117

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Britain
Israel
World
UK Summons Israeli Ambassador Over Controversial West Bank Settlement Plan
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Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?

Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?

If Trump is elected president, will he approve a new foreign aid package to Ukraine while he is in office?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Will the US conduct a targeted strike on a foreign leader on January 3, 2027?

How many interventions will Trump start in his second term?

Trump family members knighted by 2040?

Credible evidence that Iran was involved in Bondi Beach shooting?

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Trump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term

[Metaculus] Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

Latest stories

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Telegram