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Prediction markets for Game Science
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
19.85%chance
796429524
OptionVotes
34977
14290
Will GPT-5 be able to solve A::B system puzzles consistently
Apr 5, 2:04 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
15.46%chance
5711934
OptionVotes
2194
231
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
82.06%chance
372697
OptionVotes
1928
630
Will Denis Villeneuve direct an adaptation of The Player of Games before 2035?
Apr 15, 7:20 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
17.52%chance
6400
OptionVotes
301
68
Which science fiction technology or phenomenon will become reality in 2025?
Jan 10, 10:45 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
14367
OptionProbability
50
30
30
20
18
14
5
OptionVotes
1006
891
OptionProbability
61
44
32
Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?
May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
40.19%chance
122
OptionVotes
122
82
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