Gap News

Gap Relaunches Low-Rise Denim for First Time in 16 Years with Katseye in Fall 2025 Better in Denim Campaign Featuring Kelis

7 months ago

Sydney Sweeney Defends Controversial American Eagle Jeans Ad Amid Film Boycott, Co-Star Support, and Industry Critique

Celebrities

Movies

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Sydney Sweeney Defends Controversial American Eagle Jeans Ad Amid Film Boycott, Co-Star Support, and Industry Critique

7 months ago

Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]

Jan 15, 8:44 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

50.91%chance

9183970

OptionVotes

YES

1294

362

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?

Feb 26, 6:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.03%chance

282692

OptionVotes

YES

1016

492

Will Bitcoin experience "mining gaps" before the first 365-day period where transaction fees are >1/2 of total block rewards?

Dec 18, 9:07 AMMar 3, 4:59 AM

13.48%chance

172458

OptionVotes

YES

1266

918

Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?

Apr 8, 6:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78%chance

16943

OptionVotes

YES

1382

859

Will the economic gap between the USA and Western Europe be greater in 2030?

Aug 28, 8:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65.69%chance

24831

OptionVotes

YES

335

100

Benchmark Gap #1: Once we have a language model that achieves expert human performance on all current major NLP benchmarks, how many years will it be before we have an AI with human-level language skills?

Oct 27, 5:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

8.61%chance

11715

OptionProbability

YES

1249

958

Will i get a gap year offer at Hack Club

Mar 20, 9:43 AMJul 15, 9:41 AM

26.17%chance

3648

OptionVotes

YES

1052

837

Narva, Suwałki Gap, Rostov-on-Don - Entangled market

Mar 14, 1:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.32%chance

3196

OptionVotes

YES

178

The gap will close between the quality of open source language models and Google's internal language models in 5 years

May 4, 7:06 PMMay 4, 7:05 PM

41.85%chance

5190

OptionVotes

YES

AI Companion Gender Gap: Men vs Women Romantic Preference by 2030

Jul 20, 5:14 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

46.31%chance

10133

OptionVotes

YES

108

Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap be proven?

Sep 8, 9:10 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

62.47%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

174

114

Benchmark Gap #7: Once 10% of the medical Grand Challenges are "solved", how many months will it be before AI are in common use in hospitals for analyzing medical images with minimal human oversight?

Feb 8, 10:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.62%chance

225

OptionProbability

YES

295

276

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Aug 24, 2025
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Sydney Sweeney Defends Controversial American Eagle Jeans Ad Amid Film Boycott, Co-Star Support, and Industry Critique
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7 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
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7 months ago

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Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]

Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?

Will Bitcoin experience "mining gaps" before the first 365-day period where transaction fees are >1/2 of total block rewards?

Benchmark Gap #3: Once a model achieves superhuman performance on a competitive programming benchmark, will it be less than 2 years before there are "entry level" AI programmers in industry use?

Will the economic gap between the USA and Western Europe be greater in 2030?

Benchmark Gap #1: Once we have a language model that achieves expert human performance on all *current* major NLP benchmarks, how many years will it be before we have an AI with human-level language skills?

Will i get a gap year offer at Hack Club

Narva, Suwałki Gap, Rostov-on-Don - Entangled market

The gap will close between the quality of open source language models and Google's internal language models in 5 years

AI Companion Gender Gap: Men vs Women Romantic Preference by 2030

Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap be proven?

Benchmark Gap #7: Once 10% of the medical Grand Challenges are "solved", how many months will it be before AI are in common use in hospitals for analyzing medical images with minimal human oversight?

Latest stories

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Benchmark Gap #1: Once we have a language model that achieves expert human performance on all current major NLP benchmarks, how many years will it be before we have an AI with human-level language skills?