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Prediction markets for Great American
American Eagle or Dunkin Donuts apologize for “genetics“ ads backlash before September?
Jul 30, 7:04 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM
2.62%chance
647276
OptionVotes
3007
278
OptionVotes
1427
827
Will relatively "offline" societies show signs of out-competing "online" societies by the end of 2027?
Dec 27, 6:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
50%chance
462069
OptionVotes
1085
885
In January 2026, how publicly salient will AI deepfakes/media be, vs AI labor impact, vs AI catastrophic risks?
Dec 15, 7:32 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
201560
OptionProbability
41
38
8
5
4
3
Will Trump say something negative about Pope Leo XIV before May 8 2026?
May 9, 2:07 AMMay 7, 11:59 PM
56.46%chance
28953
OptionVotes
114
88
Will Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court decline in 2026, according to Gallup?
Jul 23, 4:43 PMJul 20, 10:59 PM
75%chance
13326
OptionVotes
173
58
Will Americans' confidence in large technology companies decline in 2026, according to Gallup?
Jul 23, 4:46 PMJul 20, 10:59 PM
25.02%chance
7215
OptionVotes
173
58
Will Americans' confidence in the presidency decline in 2026, according to Gallup?
Jul 23, 4:41 PMJul 20, 10:59 PM
81.96%chance
7161
OptionVotes
213
47
Will Americans' confidence in newspapers decline in 2026, according to Gallup?
Jul 23, 4:44 PMJul 20, 10:59 PM
61.93%chance
569
OptionVotes
128
78