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Top stories

UN Says 1,370 Gazans Killed in Food Queues as Famine Deepens

UN Says 1,370 Gazans Killed in Food Queues as Famine Deepens

Authors

11

12 hours ago

Netanyahu Considers Gaza Annexation If Hamas Rejects Ceasefire Amid Hostage Deal Stalemate, Military Decision Postponed

Netanyahu Considers Gaza Annexation If Hamas Rejects Ceasefire Amid Hostage Deal Stalemate, Military Decision Postponed

Authors

8

24 hours ago

U.S. Envoy Whitkoff Pushes Deal to Free 50 Gaza Hostages, End War

US Foreign Policy

U.S. Envoy Whitkoff Pushes Deal to Free 50 Gaza Hostages, End War

Authors

4

2 hours ago

Hamas and Islamic Jihad Release Videos of Israeli Hostages Including Emaciated Evyatar David Abducted on October 7, 2023

Authors

7

21 hours ago

US Foreign Policy

Israeli Officials Threaten Wider Gaza Offensive as Talks With Hamas Falter

Authors

10

2 days ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Warns Canada’s Palestine Move Could Derail Trade Deal

Authors

32

2 days ago

EU Presses Israel on Gaza Aid Deal, Threatens Trade Reprisals

Authors

11

2 days ago

Trump Says Hamas Surrender Would Quickly End Gaza Crisis

Authors

6

2 days ago

Prediction markets for Hamas

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

6678919

OptionProbability

Other

Jul - Dec 2025

Jul - Dec 2026

Jan - Jun 2026

Jan - Jun 2025

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

39

21

21

18

1

0

0

Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - Israeli Side

Oct 8, 6:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30973505

OptionProbability

1500-2500

2500-3500

5000+

1000-1500

3500-5000

0-500

500-1000

83

9

5

1

1

0

0

Was Hamas using Al-Shifa as a shield for a command centre?

Oct 30, 5:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

92.67%chance

14938292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4460

616

Will Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?

Oct 29, 4:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.4%chance

20138166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1445

639

Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM

24.45%chance

519734

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1533

749

Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war

Mar 31, 11:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.74%chance

328692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1450

839

Will Benjamin Netanyahu stop being prime minister of Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas war

Mar 28, 10:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.5%chance

444223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1524

637

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Jan 15, 2:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.3%chance

353725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1505

786

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Jun 21, 2:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.42%chance

192789

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1581

633

If Israel “eradicates” Hamas, will they allow > 600k Palestnians back into north of Wadi Gaza before end of 2025?

Nov 17, 4:04 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

71.35%chance

301336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

687

Will Hamas “disarm and relinquish power” in Gaza?

Jul 31, 11:00 AMJul 31, 11:00 AM

24.5%chance

15809

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1755

570

Netanyahu ceases to be prime minister before a permanent Israel-Hamas ceasefire is reached?

Mar 19, 9:08 PMSep 15, 12:00 AM

34.91%chance

11334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

939

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