IMF News

India Names Ex-RBI Chief Urjit Patel IMF Executive Director

1 year ago

France

Economics

Politics

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

1 year ago

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Britain

Economics

Business

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

1 year ago

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65.82%chance

10045304

OptionVotes

YES

1287

787

What will be Argentina's average annual real GDP growth during the presidency of Javier Milei?

Nov 20, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13216102

OptionProbability

Between 2% and 4%

Between 4% and 6%

Between 0% and 2%

< -2%

Between -2% and 0%

More than 6%

Other

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Feb 18, 8:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

36.4%chance

1319418

OptionVotes

YES

1808

935

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

YES

1846

1470

Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?

May 5, 6:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.42%chance

287316

OptionVotes

YES

3396

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

223816

OptionProbability

Paris Climate Agreement

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

World Health Organization (WHO)

United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC)

United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

World Trade Organization (WTO)

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

World Bank

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

United Nations (UN)

International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.

Jun 30, 4:51 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

46.01%chance

172037

OptionVotes

YES

1083

923

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May 31st 2027? [Polymarket]

Aug 31, 2:30 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

42.66%chance

121577

OptionVotes

YES

1159

863

Will China collapse before 2035? (GDP down 20%)

Apr 26, 2:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

11875

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will IMF PortWatch show a Strait of Hormuz 7-day transit average of 15 or more on any date through Oct 15, 2026?

Aug 15, 12:02 AMOct 15, 11:59 PM

11.16%chance

7236

OptionVotes

YES

236

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

Apr 21, 4:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

[IMF] Insured Mana Fund

Apr 25, 11:50 AM

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IMF News

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Prediction markets for IMF

Prediction markets for IMF

Prediction markets for IMF

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

What will be Argentina's average annual real GDP growth during the presidency of Javier Milei?

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May 31st 2027? [Polymarket]

Will China collapse before 2035? (GDP down 20%)

Will IMF PortWatch show a Strait of Hormuz 7-day transit average of 15 or more on any date through Oct 15, 2026?

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

[IMF] Insured Mana Fund

Latest stories

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