IMF News

India Names Ex-RBI Chief Urjit Patel IMF Executive Director

8 months ago

France

Economics

Politics

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

8 months ago

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Britain

Economics

Business

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

8 months ago

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65%chance

9845254

OptionVotes

YES

1262

800

What will be Argentina's average annual real GDP growth during the presidency of Javier Milei?

Nov 20, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13115926

OptionProbability

Between 2% and 4%

Between 4% and 6%

Between 0% and 2%

More than 6%

< -2%

Between -2% and 0%

Other

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

Apr 22, 8:10 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

55%chance

4411079

OptionVotes

YES

1106

905

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Feb 18, 8:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

40.11%chance

1319298

OptionVotes

YES

1874

828

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

YES

1846

1470

Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030?

Jul 4, 7:52 AMMay 1, 4:59 PM

167983

OptionProbability

growth > 3%

growth > 5%

growth > 7%

growth > 10%

growth > 15%

growth > 25%

growth > 50%

growth > 100%

growth > 500%

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

213780

OptionProbability

Paris Climate Agreement

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

World Health Organization (WHO)

United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC)

United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

World Trade Organization (WTO)

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

World Bank

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

United Nations (UN)

International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)

Will any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?

Apr 21, 5:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.24%chance

481579

OptionVotes

YES

1411

568

Will China Collapse before 2035? (GDP down 20%)

Apr 26, 2:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

11875

OptionVotes

YES

120

China's nominal GDP exceeds EU's in 2027?

Apr 20, 3:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.36%chance

12840

OptionVotes

YES

1013

987

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

Apr 21, 4:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

[IMF] Insured Mana Fund

Apr 25, 11:50 AM

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IMF News

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Prediction markets for IMF

Prediction markets for IMF

Prediction markets for IMF

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

What will be Argentina's average annual real GDP growth during the presidency of Javier Milei?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030?

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Will any currency overtake the US dollar in international trade by 2050?

Will China Collapse before 2035? (GDP down 20%)

China's nominal GDP exceeds EU's in 2027?

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

[IMF] Insured Mana Fund

Latest stories

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