IMF News

India Names Ex-RBI Chief Urjit Patel IMF Executive Director

11 months ago

France

Economics

Politics

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

11 months ago

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Britain

Economics

Business

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

11 months ago

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65%chance

9945279

OptionVotes

YES

1262

800

What will be Argentina's average annual real GDP growth during the presidency of Javier Milei?

Nov 20, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13216026

OptionProbability

Between 2% and 4%

Between 4% and 6%

Between 0% and 2%

More than 6%

< -2%

Between -2% and 0%

Other

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Feb 18, 8:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

36.4%chance

1319418

OptionVotes

YES

1808

935

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

YES

1846

1470

Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030?

Jul 4, 7:52 AMMay 1, 4:59 PM

167983

OptionProbability

growth > 3%

growth > 5%

growth > 7%

growth > 10%

growth > 15%

growth > 25%

growth > 50%

growth > 100%

growth > 500%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]

Jun 24, 4:08 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

3.11%chance

197747

OptionVotes

YES

5582

179

Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?

May 5, 6:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.31%chance

275937

OptionVotes

YES

2023

129

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

223786

OptionProbability

Paris Climate Agreement

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

World Health Organization (WHO)

United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC)

United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

World Trade Organization (WTO)

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

World Bank

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

United Nations (UN)

International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.

Jun 30, 4:51 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

48.62%chance

171955

OptionVotes

YES

1028

973

Will China collapse before 2035? (GDP down 20%)

Apr 26, 2:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

11875

OptionVotes

YES

120

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

Apr 21, 4:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

[IMF] Insured Mana Fund

Apr 25, 11:50 AM

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Prediction markets for IMF

Prediction markets for IMF

Prediction markets for IMF

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

What will be Argentina's average annual real GDP growth during the presidency of Javier Milei?

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Will the world economy grow by more than X% in any single year before 2030?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Metaculus]

Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.

Will China collapse before 2035? (GDP down 20%)

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

[IMF] Insured Mana Fund

Latest stories

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