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Prediction markets for INE
OptionProbability
91
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
OptionVotes
1419
705
[400 mana bounty]What inexpensive things, if I buy, will I think was worth the time and money in terms of improving QOL?
Sep 29, 1:30 AMJan 1, 2:29 AM
341911
OptionProbability
100
65
61
60
58
39
OptionVotes
293
34
Will the first commercial fusion reactor use inertial confinement fusion? (And not magnetic confinement fusion)
Dec 16, 11:42 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
31.42%chance
20396
OptionVotes
1023
983
Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?
Jul 8, 11:11 AMOct 6, 2:59 AM
85.22%chance
9344
OptionVotes
305
56
Will "Inscrutability was always inevitable, right?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Feb 12, 7:00 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
40.08%chance
2219
OptionVotes
1219
297
OptionVotes
228
111
OptionVotes
171
146
Will Ineffable Intelligence release a paper or model before SSI?
Apr 28, 5:55 PMJan 1, 6:54 PM
45.39%chance
5133
OptionVotes
274
228
What color will the ‘grey goo’ be when it inevitably destroys humanity?
Nov 5, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
160
OptionProbability
50
26
26
26
26
26
26
When will (inelastic) graviton-* scattering be observed?
Aug 31, 3:45 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
66.69%chance
560
OptionProbability
248
135
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