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Prediction markets for Intelligence Ministry
$300M subsidy: Did Israel bomb an evacuation route?
Oct 19, 6:53 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
87.41%chance
464680
OptionVotes
2609
302
Will Guinea bauxite exports exceed 140 Mt as of October 2027?
May 4, 5:14 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
87.94%chance
4424
OptionVotes
270
37
US and China publicly announce a bilateral AI arrangement before 2027?
May 18, 5:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15%chance
8239
OptionVotes
238
42
Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?
Mar 16, 9:29 PMMar 16, 9:28 PM
65.93%chance
12152
OptionVotes
139
72
Will Indonesia primary aluminum production exceed 1 Mt as of October 2027?
May 4, 5:16 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
68.86%chance
215
OptionVotes
115
92
US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?
Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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