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Top stories

India Names Ex-RBI Chief Urjit Patel IMF Executive Director

India Names Ex-RBI Chief Urjit Patel IMF Executive Director

Authors

3

1 year ago

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk

Authors

16

1 year ago

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout

Authors

15

1 year ago

IMF’s Gopinath Warns Global Debt Surge Risks Bond-Market Strain

Authors

5

1 year ago

Natural Resources

DR Congo and Ukraine Advance Critical Mineral Development With US Investment, Trump Support, KoBold Metals, and Dobra Lithium Tender

Authors

6

1 year ago

Brazil Lowers 2025-26 Inflation and GDP Forecasts; IMF Sees Panama GDP Growth at 4.5% Supported by Spending Cuts Plan

Authors

4

1 year ago

Rachel Reeves’ UK Faces 1970s-Style Debt Crisis With £50 Billion Shortfall, Borrowing Costs Above Greece, and Possible IMF Bailout

Authors

10

1 year ago

Goldman Sachs Projects China, India, US as Top Economies by 2075; UK GDP Share Declines to 2.1%

Authors

7

1 year ago

Prediction markets for International Monetary Fund

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65.82%chance

10045304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1287

787

Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?

Feb 18, 8:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

36.4%chance

1319418

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1808

935

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1846

1470

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

223816

OptionProbability

Paris Climate Agreement

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

World Health Organization (WHO)

United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC)

United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

World Trade Organization (WTO)

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

World Bank

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

United Nations (UN)

International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)

99

95

95

80

80

72

55

54

53

49

44

43

38

36

31

15

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

Apr 6, 6:59 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

26.04%chance

121612

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1773

450

China's nominal GDP exceeds EU's in 2027?

Apr 20, 3:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.36%chance

12840

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1013

987

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2030?

Jun 9, 5:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.16%chance

7139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

85

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.86%chance

7136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

70

Will Bolivia go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030?

May 30, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.47%chance

2110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

191

52

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2075?

Jun 10, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.1%chance

495

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

68

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?

Jun 9, 5:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.09%chance

895

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

94

When will Senegal lower their debt to GDP ratio below 100%?

Apr 21, 4:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

May-Aug 2026

Sep-Dec 2026

Jan-Apr 2027

May-Aug 2027

Sep-Dec 2027

20

20

20

20

20

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
India
Economics
Business
India Names Ex-RBI Chief Urjit Patel IMF Executive Director
Authors
3
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Britain
Economics
Business
Economists Warn Reeves’ UK Debt Path Risks 1976-Style IMF Bailout
Authors
15
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Economics
Business
World
IMF’s Gopinath Warns Global Debt Surge Risks Bond-Market Strain
Authors
5
1 year ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
France
Economics
Politics
France’s Lombard Sticks to 5.4% Deficit Goal, Downplays IMF Risk
Authors
16
1 year ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Panama
Brazil
Economics
Brazil Lowers 2025-26 Inflation and GDP Forecasts; IMF Sees Panama GDP Growth at 4.5% Supported by Spending Cuts Plan
Authors
4
1 year ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Ukraine
Natural Resources
Environment
DR Congo and Ukraine Advance Critical Mineral Development With US Investment, Trump Support, KoBold Metals, and Dobra Lithium Tender
Authors
6
1 year ago
Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Britain
Economics
Business
Rachel Reeves’ UK Faces 1970s-Style Debt Crisis With £50 Billion Shortfall, Borrowing Costs Above Greece, and Possible IMF Bailout
Authors
10
1 year ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Economics
Business
World
Goldman Sachs Projects China, India, US as Top Economies by 2075; UK GDP Share Declines to 2.1%
Authors
7
1 year ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Markets
Crypto
Harvard’s Rogoff Concedes 2018 Bitcoin Call Miss as Price Tops $113,000
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12
1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Argentina
Economics
Business
Argentina Wholesale Prices Jump 2.8% in July on Costlier Imports
Authors
14
1 year ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Asia
Economics
Business
IMF Projects Philippines 5.5% Growth in 2025; China Autonomous Regions’ GDP Rises and Thailand’s Q2 GDP Hits 2.8% Amid ASEAN Slowdown
Authors
9
1 year ago
Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
Britain
Italy
Economics
IMF Data Show Italy Erases UK’s Per-Capita Income Lead
Authors
5
1 year ago

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