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Prediction markets for International Monetary Fund
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
65.82%chance
10045304
OptionVotes
1287
787
Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
Feb 18, 8:40 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
36.4%chance
1319418
OptionVotes
1808
935
Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027
Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.07%chance
1298015
OptionVotes
1846
1470
Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?
Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
223816
OptionProbability
99
95
95
80
80
72
55
54
53
49
44
43
38
36
31
15
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
Apr 6, 6:59 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM
20.23%chance
132165
OptionVotes
2035
372
OptionVotes
1013
987
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2030?
Jun 9, 5:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.9%chance
8193
OptionVotes
143
70
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?
Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.86%chance
7136
OptionVotes
142
70
Will Bolivia go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030?
May 30, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
78.47%chance
2110
OptionVotes
191
52
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2075?
Jun 10, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
68.1%chance
495
OptionVotes
146
68
Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?
Jun 9, 5:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
53.09%chance
895
OptionVotes
106
94
OptionProbability
20
20
20
20
20
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