IS News

Iraq Begins Excavation of Khasfa Mass Grave Near Mosul Holding 3,000-15,000 IS Victims Including Yazidis

7 months ago

Mali

War

Politics

JNIM and IS-Sahel Militants Seize VDP Positions, Kill Soldiers in Burkina Faso and Mali Amid UK Travel Warning

7 months ago

Berlin Court Gives Teen Suspended Sentence in Taylor Swift Vienna Bomb Plot

Austria

Germany

Crime

Berlin Court Gives Teen Suspended Sentence in Taylor Swift Vienna Bomb Plot

7 months ago

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.19%chance

315655506

OptionVotes

YES

2744

2381

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

22.37%chance

553262179

OptionVotes

YES

9333

5985

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Mar 4, 3:00 AMJan 1, 3:50 AM

22.97%chance

97116273

OptionVotes

YES

183143

54602

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

Jan 24, 12:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

25%chance

253103473

OptionVotes

YES

1788

550

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Mar 14, 8:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

55%chance

21950798

OptionVotes

YES

2545

1107

Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?

Jun 28, 2:39 AMOct 28, 11:33 AM

44.86%chance

7733207

OptionVotes

YES

1200

707

🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

Sep 24, 9:28 AMOct 3, 2:59 PM

48.92%chance

6123558

OptionVotes

YES

49884

48622

Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?

Jun 3, 2:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.86%chance

4515871

OptionVotes

YES

15703

6520

What is Elon Musk's IQ?

Sep 18, 7:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.44%chance

7915381

OptionProbability

YES

1133

897

Is the LMSYS chatbot arena leaderboard trustworthy?

Jun 24, 9:42 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

48.82%chance

2511131

OptionVotes

YES

10330

9674

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

42.29%chance

206464

OptionVotes

YES

12015

8196

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

39.13%chance

74647

OptionVotes

YES

12472

8018

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Aug 26, 2025
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Aug 19, 2025
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Prediction markets for IS

Prediction markets for IS

Prediction markets for IS

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Will we have at least one more AI winter before AGI is realized?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?

🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?

What is Elon Musk's IQ?

Is the LMSYS chatbot arena leaderboard trustworthy?

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Latest stories

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