IS News

Iraq Begins Excavation of Khasfa Mass Grave Near Mosul Holding 3,000-15,000 IS Victims Including Yazidis

1 year ago

Mali

War

Politics

JNIM and IS-Sahel Militants Seize VDP Positions, Kill Soldiers in Burkina Faso and Mali Amid UK Travel Warning

1 year ago

Berlin Court Gives Teen Suspended Sentence in Taylor Swift Vienna Bomb Plot

Austria

Germany

Crime

Berlin Court Gives Teen Suspended Sentence in Taylor Swift Vienna Bomb Plot

1 year ago

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.06%chance

324668305

OptionVotes

YES

2713

2452

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Mar 4, 3:00 AMJan 1, 3:50 AM

16.52%chance

163614971

OptionVotes

YES

224788

44486

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM

9.78%chance

602338438

OptionVotes

YES

18317

4420

🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

Sep 24, 9:28 AMOct 3, 2:59 PM

64.51%chance

8579053

OptionVotes

YES

68315

36630

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Mar 14, 8:29 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

56.66%chance

22150875

OptionVotes

YES

2500

1163

Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?

Jun 28, 2:39 AMOct 28, 11:33 AM

35.86%chance

8033375

OptionVotes

YES

1405

569

Is the LMSYS chatbot arena leaderboard trustworthy?

Jun 24, 9:42 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

70.62%chance

2817383

OptionVotes

YES

15423

6534

LLM agent is able to reliably beat Slay the Spire 2 before EOY 2027

Apr 26, 5:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.19%chance

7516049

OptionVotes

YES

12043

8303

Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?

Jun 3, 2:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.86%chance

4515871

OptionVotes

YES

15703

6520

What is Elon Musk's IQ?

Sep 18, 7:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

61.44%chance

7915381

OptionProbability

YES

1133

897

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

Jun 13, 9:36 PMJun 21, 4:59 AM

49.98%chance

218159

OptionVotes

YES

10346

9625

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

34.52%chance

85947

OptionVotes

YES

13772

7261

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Aug 26, 2025
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Austria
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Berlin Court Gives Teen Suspended Sentence in Taylor Swift Vienna Bomb Plot
Authors
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1 year ago
Aug 19, 2025
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Prediction markets for IS

Prediction markets for IS

Prediction markets for IS

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?

Is the LMSYS chatbot arena leaderboard trustworthy?

LLM agent is able to reliably beat Slay the Spire 2 before EOY 2027

Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?

What is Elon Musk's IQ?

Barron Trump is not fully natural [Mod Note: OP includes "steroids, gene therapy, IVF, etc."]

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Latest stories

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