Islamic State News

YES

YES

NO

YES

Will Syria be Democratic?

Will Syria be split into more than one state/nation?

Will Syria experience a genocide?

YES

YES

Deal with minimal concessions

Unyielding Islamic Regime

Deal with major concessions

Balkanization/long civil war

Military coup (Artesh)

Popular takeover

Venezuela-style puppet state

Oil blockade, regime stays

Oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime changes

0–1

2

3

YES

NO