Islamic State News

US Raid in Idlib Kills Senior ISIS Leadership Contender

7 months ago

Somalia

War

Politics

Somalia Says Awdheegle Raid Kills Over 100 Al-Shabaab Fighters

7 months ago

Berlin Court Gives Teen Suspended Sentence in Taylor Swift Vienna Bomb Plot

Austria

Germany

Crime

Berlin Court Gives Teen Suspended Sentence in Taylor Swift Vienna Bomb Plot

7 months ago

War

Politics

World

Burkina Faso Expels UN Resident Coordinator Over Report on Child Rights

7 months ago

Iraq

War

Politics

Iraq Begins Excavation of Khasfa Mass Grave Near Mosul Holding 3,000-15,000 IS Victims Including Yazidis

7 months ago

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.23%chance

8334605

OptionVotes

YES

2359

424

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Jan 3, 3:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

8324930

OptionVotes

YES

7870

2985

Iran Government falls before end of March 2026

Mar 3, 4:51 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

3.09%chance

6211690

OptionVotes

YES

5599

179

Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?

Mar 3, 2:11 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

2.05%chance

383057

OptionVotes

YES

691

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Mar 11, 3:15 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.55%chance

182209

OptionVotes

YES

1407

711

Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027

Mar 7, 12:40 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

15.16%chance

191786

OptionVotes

YES

2366

423

Will the Iranian regime fall by end of June?

Mar 2, 10:03 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

11.84%chance

331247

OptionVotes

YES

273

Outcome of Operation Epic Fury (Iran 2026):

Mar 12, 3:08 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

111046

OptionProbability

Unyielding Islamic Regime

Deal with minimal concessions

Balkanization/long civil war

Deal with major concessions

Military coup (Artesh)

Popular takeover

Voluntary transition of power

Venezuela-style puppet state

How much did the 2025/06/21 U.S. strikes on Iran delay the nuclear weapon program?

Jun 22, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4543

OptionProbability

>3 months

>6 months

>1 year

>2 years

>5 years

Will donald trump strike nigeria again

Dec 27, 6:20 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

57.73%chance

14401

OptionVotes

YES

117

Will Bangladesh turn into an Islamic Republic by 2030?

Dec 16, 10:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.59%chance

7343

OptionVotes

YES

138

Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

Feb 20, 8:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.6%chance

10139

OptionVotes

YES

116

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US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

Iran Government falls before end of March 2026

Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?

Will Iran successfully attack the mainland US before March 2027

Will the Iranian regime fall by end of June?

Outcome of Operation Epic Fury (Iran 2026):

How much did the 2025/06/21 U.S. strikes on Iran delay the nuclear weapon program?

Will donald trump strike nigeria again

Will Bangladesh turn into an Islamic Republic by 2030?

Conditional on Iranian Regime Change: will it be achieved by a military coup?

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